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Working behind Councils household projection

Ross Jones made this Freedom of Information request to Cheshire West and Chester Council

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Dear Cheshire West and Chester Council,

Paragraph 4.41 of your recently commissioned SHMA states:

4.41 The Council have prepared household forecasts based on 2011 interim CLG projections. There suggest a total household increase from 140,700 in 2010 to 161,800 in 2030, representing a total increase of 21,000 households or around 1,050 each year.

Under FOI, please provide me with any working papers which show exactly how the DCLG projection of 495 has been worked up to 1,050.

Yours faithfully,

Ross Jones.

Cheshire West and Chester Council

Dear Mr Ray Jones

Reference:101001617509

Thank you for your request for information about Household Projection, which we received on 18th October 2013. We are dealing with your request under the Environmental Information Regulations 2004.
As required by the legislation, we aim to answer your request within 20 working days from the date we received it. If for any reason we are unable to meet this deadline we will keep you fully informed of the reasons for this.

If you have any queries about this letter please contact me.

Scott Robertson

Solutions Team

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Dear Cheshire West and Chester Council,

Any chance of sorting this out by the end of today (i.e within the 20 days).

Yours faithfully,

Ross Jones

FOI West, Cheshire West and Chester Council

Dear Mr Jones

Thank you for your email. I am currently awaiting information from the service before I am able to respond. I apologise for the delay and will forward it to you at the earliest opportunity. I am sorry but this may mean that I cannot send you a full response until Monday but please be assured that I am treating your request as an urgent priority.

Yours sincerely

Miriam Wallace

Solutions Team
Cheshire West and Chester Council

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FOI West, Cheshire West and Chester Council

1 Attachment

Dear Mr Jones

Further to my email below I am now able to provide you with the following response and apologise for the delay in doing so.

Your query has previously been answered, in an email to you from Gill Smith dated 24th October 2013 and subsequent clarification from Jeremy Owens dated 18th November 2013.
I note you refer to paragraph 4.4.1 of the SHMA which states ‘The Council have prepared household forecasts based on 2011 interim CLG projections. They suggest a total household increase from 140,700 in 2010 to 161,800 in 2030, representing a total increase of 21,000 households or around 1,050 each year’. This should actually read based on the 2011 Census not the interim CLG projections and I apologise if this has caused any confusion. The figures referred to are taken from the 1,100 dwellings per annum scenario (model 6 on the attached spreadsheet) which would increase the number of households by 21,000 and translate into a need for 22,000 new dwellings.

As can be seen from the attached spreadsheet the Council ran a scenario based on the CLG Interim Household Projections - 500 dpa (model 4 on the attached spreadsheet) which identifies an increase in households from 140,700 to 150,300 and population from 329,600 to 333,400.

Any further queries relating to the figures used in the Strategic Housing Market Assessment should be directed through the Local Plan process.

The Council considers that your request has been answered in full by either confirming that information is not held, providing you with the information requested, or explaining why any information has been withheld and the reasons for any redaction. Where applicable, the Council has also told you the reasons for the delay in responding to your request.

If you are unhappy with the way your request for information has been handled you can request a review by writing to the Solutions Team within 40 working days from the date of the Council’s response. You are entitled to a review by the Council if:
• You are dissatisfied with the Council’s explanation of why the application was not dealt with within the 20 working day time limit.
• All the information requested is not being disclosed and you have not received an explanation why some information is not being disclosed.
• A reason for the disclosures under the request being refused is not received.
• You consider that exemptions have been wrongly applied, and/or
• You consider that a fee has been wrongly applied.
Please set out your grounds for seeking a review together with what specific part of your request those grounds apply to and the outcome you are seeking. The Council reserves the right to ask you for clarification of the grounds for your review request if the grounds are not clear, and to delay commencing the review if such grounds are not provided.

The Solutions Team can be contacted by email via: [Cheshire West and Chester Council request email] or at the following address:

Solutions Team
Cheshire West and Chester Council
HQ
58 Nicholas Street
Chester
CH1 2NP

The Solutions Team will acknowledge a request for an internal review within 5 working days and complete the review as soon as possible and no later than 40 working days from receipt of the request.

More information about the Council’s internal review process can be found via: http://www.cheshirewestandchester.gov.uk...

If you remain dissatisfied following the outcome of your review, you have a right of appeal to the Information Commissioner at:

The Information Commissioner's Office
Wycliffe House
Water Lane
Wilmslow
Cheshire SK9 5AF

Telephone: 08456 30 60 60 or 01625 54 57 45
Website: www.ico.gov.uk

There is no charge for making an appeal.

Yours sincerely

Miriam Wallace
Solutions Team
Cheshire West and Chester Council

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Dear Cheshire West and Chester Council,

Please pass this on to the person who conducts Freedom of Information reviews.

I am writing to request an internal review of Cheshire West and Chester Council's handling of my FOI request 'Working behind Councils household projection'.

I must assume there are more working papers than this showing how the Council's household projection has ended up more than double the DCLG's.

After all, the draft plan was delayed for months to incorporate the "unexpected" change in DCLG forecasts. Currently I can't see any evidence the change was actually incorporated.

As a side note, the explanation that the quoted SHMA paragraph should read "based on 2011 census" doesn't help the paragraph become any less misleading to members of the public who read it. The Council's projected household forecast is actually based on a 1,100 dwelling per annum dwelling led forecast (which is quite an important difference).

A full history of my FOI request and all correspondence is available on the Internet at this address: https://www.whatdotheyknow.com/request/w...

Yours faithfully,

Ross Jones

FOI West, Cheshire West and Chester Council

Dear Mr Jones

Thank you for your email of 25 November 2013 reference 1617509.

An internal review will be arranged and you will be advised of the date shortly.

Ruth Winson
Solutions Assistant

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FOI West, Cheshire West and Chester Council

Dear Mr Jones

Your internal review for reference 1617509 has been arranged for 14 January 2014.

Ruth Winson
Cheshire West and Chester Council

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FOI West, Cheshire West and Chester Council

2 Attachments

Dear Mr Jones

Further to your request for an Internal Review of reference 1617509.

The panel, comprising of Kathryn McKevith, Legal Officer, and Paul Plested, Tier 4 Manager, met on 14 January 2014.

Please find attached the Decision Notice and accompanying document.

Yours sincerely

Ruth Winson
Cheshire West and Chester Council

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