This is an HTML version of an attachment to the Freedom of Information request 'Economic impact on Scotland'.

Freedom of Information Team 
Correspondence​ ​Unit 
9​ ​Downing​ ​Street 
SW1A​ ​2AG 
Kristian​ ​Healey-Ryder 
Via:​ ​​ 
Our​ ​ref:​ ​DEX000571  
14​ ​September​ ​2017  
Dear​ ​Kristian​ ​Healey-Ryder, 
I​ ​refer​ ​to​ ​your​ ​request,​ ​where​ ​you​ ​asked: 
It​ is​ my​ understanding​ that​ your​ department​ possesses​ a​ report​ analysing​ how​ Scotland's​ economy​ will 
be​ affected​ by​ leaving​ the​ European​ Union. 
As​ a​ resident​ of​ Glasgow,​ please​ provide​ me​ with​ a​ copy​ of​ this. 
In​ ​accordance​ ​with​ ​Sections​ ​27(4)(a)​ ​and​ ​29(2)​ ​of​ ​the​ ​Freedom​ ​of​ ​Information​ ​Act 
2000​ ​(the​ ​Act),​ ​I​ ​can​ ​neither​ ​confirm​ ​nor​ ​deny​ ​whether​ ​the​ ​Department​ ​for​ ​Exiting 
the​ ​EU​ ​(DExEU)​ ​holds​ ​any​ ​information​ ​which​ ​may​ ​relate​ ​to​ ​your​ ​request. 
Section 27 
Section​ ​27(4)(a)​ ​of​ ​the​ ​Act​ ​stipulates​ ​that​ ​the​ ​duty​ ​to​ ​confirm​ ​or​ ​deny​ ​does​ ​not 
arise​ ​if​ ​to​ ​do​ ​so​ ​would,​ ​or​ ​would​ ​be​ ​likely​ ​to,​ ​prejudice​ ​any​ ​of​ ​the​ ​matters 
mentioned​ ​in​ ​section​ ​27(1)(a-d),​ ​which​ ​includes:​ ​​relations​ ​between​ ​the​ ​UK​ ​and​ ​any 
other​ ​State;​ ​relations​ ​between​ ​the​ ​United​ ​Kingdom​ ​and​ ​any​ ​international 
organisation​ ​or​ ​international​ ​court;​ ​the​ ​interests​ ​of​ ​the​ ​UK​ ​abroad,​ ​or;​ ​the 
promotion​ ​or​ ​protection​ ​by​ ​the​ ​UK​ ​of​ ​its​ ​interests​ ​abroad. 
Section​ ​27​ ​is​ ​a​ ​qualified​ ​exemption​ ​and​ ​I​ ​have​ ​considered​ ​whether​ ​the​ ​public 
interest​ ​in​ ​maintaining​ ​the​ ​exclusion​ ​of​ ​the​ ​duty​ ​to​ ​confirm​ ​or​ ​deny​ ​outweighs​ ​the 
public​ ​interest​ ​in​ ​confirming​ ​whether​ ​or​ ​not​ ​DExEU​ ​holds​ ​any​ ​information​ ​relating 
to​ ​your​ ​request.  
DExEU​ ​recognises​ ​that​ ​there​ ​is​ ​a​ ​general​ ​public​ ​interest​ ​in​ ​being​ ​transparent​ ​and 
informative​ ​as​ ​this​ ​may​ ​increase​ ​public​ ​trust​ ​in​ ​and​ ​engagement​ ​with​ ​the 
government.​ ​Particular​ ​to​ ​this​ ​case,​ ​we​ ​also​ ​recognise​ ​that​ ​there​ ​is​ ​a​ ​public 
interest​ ​in​ ​providing​ ​the​ ​assurance​ ​that​ ​regional​ ​analysis​ ​of​ ​the​ ​consequences​ ​of 
our​ ​exit​ ​from​ ​the​ ​EU​ ​has​ ​been​ ​conducted. 
Opposing​ ​this,​ ​there​ ​is​ ​an​ ​overwhelming​ ​public​ ​interest​ ​in​ ​the​ ​correct​ ​handling​ ​of 
the​ ​UK’s​ ​national​ ​interests​ ​abroad.​ ​Due​ ​to​ ​the​ ​unprecedented​ ​nature​ ​of​ ​our​ ​exit 

from​ ​the​ ​EU​ ​and​ ​the​ ​corresponding​ ​sensitivity​ ​of​ ​the​ ​Department’s​ ​work,​ ​it​ ​is 
DExEU​ ​FOI​ ​policy​ ​to​ ​neither​ ​confirm​ ​nor​ ​deny​ ​whether​ ​we​ ​hold​ ​information​ ​when 
this​ ​very​ ​act​ ​may​ ​give​ ​insight​ ​to​ ​and,​ ​in​ ​turn,​ ​undermine​ ​the​ ​UK’s​ ​negotiations​ ​with 
the​ ​EU​ ​or​ ​adversely​ ​affect​ ​the​ ​UK’s​ ​national​ ​interests.  
Taking​ ​into​ ​account​ ​all​ ​the​ ​circumstances​ ​and​ ​potential​ ​consequences​ ​of​ ​this​ ​case,​ ​I​ ​have 
concluded​ ​that​ ​the​ ​public​ ​interest​ ​favours​ ​neither​ ​confirming​ ​nor​ ​denying​ ​whether​ ​we​ ​hold 
the​ ​information​ ​you​ ​have​ ​requested. 
Section 29 
Section​ ​29(2)​ ​of​ ​the​ ​Act​ ​prescribes​ ​that​ ​the​ ​duty​ ​to​ ​confirm​ ​or​ ​deny​ ​does​ ​not​ ​arise 
if​ ​to​ ​do​ ​so​ ​would,​ ​or​ ​would​ ​be​ ​likely​ ​to,​ ​prejudice​ ​any​ ​of​ ​the​ ​matters​ ​mentioned​ ​in 
section​ ​29(1),​ ​including​ ​prejudicing​ ​the​ ​economic​ ​interests​ ​of​ ​the​ ​UK​ ​or​ ​any​ ​part​ ​of 
the​ ​UK,​ ​or​ ​the​ ​financial​ ​interests​ ​of​ ​any​ ​administration​ ​in​ ​the​ ​UK​ ​(where 
“administration​ ​in​ ​the​ ​UK”​ ​means​ ​the​ ​government​ ​of​ ​the​ ​UK,​ ​the​ ​Scottish 
Administration,​ ​the​ ​Executive​ ​Committee​ ​of​ ​the​ ​Northern​ ​Ireland​ ​Assembly,​ ​or​ ​the 
Welsh​ ​Assembly​ ​Government). 
Section​ ​29​ ​is​ ​a​ ​qualified​ ​exemption​ ​and​ ​I​ ​have​ ​considered​ ​whether​ ​the​ ​public 
interest​ ​in​ ​maintaining​ ​the​ ​exclusion​ ​of​ ​the​ ​duty​ ​to​ ​confirm​ ​or​ ​deny​ ​outweighs​ ​the 
public​ ​interest​ ​in​ ​confirming​ ​whether​ ​or​ ​not​ ​DExEU​ ​holds​ ​any​ ​information​ ​relating 
to​ ​your​ ​request.  
Further​ ​to​ ​the​ ​general​ ​reasons​ ​for​ ​confirming​ ​or​ ​denying​ ​whether​ ​we​ ​hold​ ​the 
information​ ​detailed​ ​above,​ ​we​ ​recognise​ ​there​ ​is​ ​a​ ​public​ ​interest​ ​in​ ​being 
assured​ ​that​ ​the​ ​Government​ ​has​ ​accounted​ ​for​ ​the​ ​economic​ ​interests​ ​of​ ​the 
different​ ​regions,​ ​in​ ​this​ ​case​ ​the​ ​Southwest.  
Against​ ​this,​ ​there​ ​is​ ​a​ ​strong​ ​public​ ​interest​ ​in​ ​the​ ​sound​ ​economic​ ​management 
of​ ​our​ ​exit​ ​from​ ​the​ ​EU.​ ​I​ ​find​ ​there​ ​to​ ​be​ ​significant​ ​public​ ​interest​ ​in​ ​the​ ​UK 
securing​ ​the​ ​best​ ​deal​ ​for​ ​the​ ​UK,​ ​and​ ​in​ ​doing​ ​so​ ​securing​ ​the​ ​best​ ​deal​ ​for​ ​the 
regional​ ​and​ ​national​ ​economies.​ ​In​ ​the​ ​meantime,​ ​there​ ​is​ ​high​ ​public​ ​interest​ ​in 
the​ ​Government​ ​making​ ​sure​ ​that​ ​the​ ​UK​ ​remains​ ​as​ ​stable​ ​as​ ​possible 
throughout​ ​the​ ​process​ ​of​ ​our​ ​exit​ ​from​ ​the​ ​EU.​ ​In​ ​confirming​ ​or​ ​denying​ ​if​ ​we​ ​held 
any​ ​information​ ​in​ ​scope,​ ​we​ ​may​ ​undermine​ ​the​ ​economic​ ​or​ ​financial​ ​interests​ ​of 
the​ ​UK​ ​or​ ​its​ ​regions​ ​by​ ​giving​ ​an​ ​indication​ ​of​ ​notable​ ​information​ ​which​ ​may 
weaken​ ​the​ ​UK​ ​Government’s​ ​position​ ​within​ ​the​ ​negotiations.​ ​This,​ ​in​ ​turn,​ ​may 
make​ ​it​ ​harder​ ​for​ ​the​ ​UK​ ​to​ ​secure​ ​a​ ​sound,​ ​economically​ ​desirable​ ​exit​ ​from​ ​the 
EU,​ ​which​ ​is​ ​not​ ​in​ ​the​ ​public​ ​interest.  
For​ ​these​ ​reasons,​ ​I​ ​have​ ​concluded​ ​that​ ​in​ ​all​ ​circumstances​ ​of​ ​the​ ​case,​ ​public 
interest​ ​favours​ ​maintaining​ ​the​ ​exclusion​ ​of​ ​the​ ​duty​ ​to​ ​confirm​ ​or​ ​deny​ ​whether 
we​ ​hold​ ​information​ ​in​ ​relation​ ​to​ ​your​ ​request. 
If​ ​you​ ​are​ ​unhappy​ ​with​ ​the​ ​service​ ​you​ ​have​ ​received​ ​in​ ​relation​ ​to​ ​your​ ​request​ ​or​ ​wish​ ​to 
request​ ​an​ ​internal​ ​review,​ ​you​ ​should​ ​write​ ​to​ ​​​ ​or: 
Freedom​ ​of​ ​Information​ ​Team​ ​(internal​ ​review) 
Department​ ​for​ ​Exiting​ ​the​ ​European​ ​Union 

9​ ​Downing​ ​Street 
SW1A​ ​2AG 
You​ ​should​ ​note​ ​that​ ​DExEU​ ​will​ ​not​ ​normally​ ​accept​ ​an​ ​application​ ​for​ ​internal​ ​review​ ​if​ ​it​ ​is 
received​ ​more​ ​than​ ​two​ ​months​ ​after​ ​the​ ​date​ ​that​ ​the​ ​reply​ ​was​ ​issued. 
If​ ​you​ ​are​ ​not​ ​content​ ​with​ ​the​ ​outcome​ ​of​ ​your​ ​internal​ ​review,​ ​you​ ​may​ ​apply​ ​directly​ ​to​ ​the 
Information​ ​Commissioner​ ​for​ ​a​ ​decision.​ ​Generally,​ ​the​ ​Commissioner​ ​cannot​ ​make​ ​a 
decision​ ​unless​ ​you​ ​have​ ​exhausted​ ​the​ ​complaints​ ​procedure​ ​provided​ ​by​ ​DExEU.​ ​The 
Information​ ​Commissioner​ ​can​ ​be​ ​contacted​ ​at: 
The​ ​Information​ ​Commissioner’s​ ​Office 
Wycliffe​ ​House 
Water​ ​Lane  
SK9​ ​5AF 
Yours​ ​sincerely, 
Freedom of Information Team, DExEU.