This is an HTML version of an attachment to the Freedom of Information request 'Peer review documentation'.

12
Warwickshire at a Glance
Population and Area
urban/Rural split
AREA
POPULATION
OF WHICH:
HOUSEHOLD 
2011 MID-YEAR ESTIMATES
URBAN >10K
TOTAL RURAL
VILLAGE HAMLET 
SQ. MILES
SQ. KM
HECTARES
MID-2012 
PERSONS 
TOWN &  
ESTIMATES PER SQ. KM ESTIMATES 
& ISOLATED 
(2011)
FRINGE
DWELLINGS
North Warwickshire
110
285
28,516
62,200
218
25,800
North Warwickshire
26,100
36,000
20,900
15,100
Nuneaton & Bedworth
30
79
7,898
125,800
1,592
52,700
Nuneaton & Bedworth
124,000
1,500
1,500
0
Rugby
137
356
35,558
100,800
283
41,900
Rugby
75,600
24,900
11,900
12,900
Stratford-on-Avon
377
977
97,657
120,600
123
51,900
Stratford-on-Avon
27,600
93,300
51,100
42,200
Warwick
109
282
28,226
138,600
491
58,700
Warwick
123,600
14,100
3,900
10,200
Warwickshire
763
1,979
197,855
548,000
277
231,000
Warwickshire
376,800
169,800
89,300
80,400
Source: Warwickshire Observatory; Office for National Statistics Mid-2012  
Sources: Defra Rural and Urban area classification; Office for National Statistics 2011  
Estimates and 2011 Census (www.statistics.gov.uk) © Crown Copyright 2013.  
mid-year population estimates, (www.statistics.gov.uk) © Crown Copyright 2013 
Figures may not sum due to rounding, population and household estimates are rounded to the nearest 100.
Notes: Area totals are based on mid-2011 small area population estimates. They are the most recent  
small area population estimates available and all figures are rounded to the nearest 100. 
Population, selected age-groups
2012 MID-YEAR ESTIMATES
TOTAL
0-19 
20-39 
40-59 
60-79 
80+ 
YEARS
YEARS
YEARS
YEARS
YEARS
North Warwickshire
62,200
13,700
13,500
18,600
13,400
2,900
Nuneaton & Bedworth
125,800
30,200
31,100
34,800
24,200
5,500
Rugby
100,800
24,500
24,300
28,100
18,900
5,000
Stratford-on-Avon
120,600
25,500
22,600
35,600
29,200
7,700
Warwick
138,600
29,800
40,200
37,000
24,700
7,000
Warwickshire
548,000
123,700
131,700
154,000
110,400
28,200
Source: Office for National Statistics, (www.statistics.gov.uk) © Crown Copyright 2013.  
Figures may not sum due to rounding and all figures are rounded to the nearest 100.
Quality of life RepoRt 2013/14
WaRWickshiRe obseRvatoRy

13
Warwickshire at a Glance
Population of Main settlements
ethnic Groups
MID-2002 WARD 
MID-2011 WARD 
% CHANGE  
Nuneaton & 
ESTIMATES
ESTIMATES
2002 - 2011
2011 Census
North 
Warwickshire
Bedworth
Rugby
Stratford-on-
Avon
Warwick
Warwickshire
Alcester
6,000
6,800
13.3%
Total All Groups
62,000
125,300
100,100
120,500
137,600
545,500
Atherstone and Mancetter
10,900
11,000
0.9%
Total White  
60,700
114,300
90,400
117,100
122,700
505,200
Bedworth
34,700
37,200
7.2%
of which:
Coleshill
6,300
6,500
3.2%
British
59,500
111,400
84,200
112,800
114,700
482,600
Kenilworth
23,300
23,400
0.4%
Irish
500
700
1,000
900
2,100
5,200
Leamington Spa
45,800
49,600
8.3%
Gypsy or Irish 
0
100
200
200
0
500
Nuneaton
78,500
82,000
4.5%
Traveller
Polesworth
7,000
7,000
0.0%
Other White
700
2,200
5,200
3,500
5,800
17,400
Rugby
61,700
72,100
16.9%
Total BME
2,500
13,900
15,900
7,700
22,900
62,900
Shipston-on-Stour
4,500
5,000
11.1%
(including Irish,  
Gypsy or Irish 
Southam
6,500
6,600
1.5%
Traveller and Other 
White) of which:
Stratford-upon-Avon
22,300
27,600
23.8%
Mixed/multiple 
500
1,400
2,000
1,300
2,800
7,900
Studley
6,000
5,900
-1.7%
ethnic group
Warwick
26,100
30,100
15.3%
Asian/Asian British
600
7,900
5,200
1,500
9,900
25,100
Wellesbourne
7,000
7,000
0.0%
Black/African/
200
1,000
2,000
300
1,000
4,400
Whitnash
8,200
8,800
7.3%
Caribbean/Black 
British
Sources: Warwickshire Observatory; National Statistics mid-year ward population  
estimates for 2011 wards, (www.statistics.gov.uk) © Crown Copyright 2013.  
Other Ethnic Group
0
500
300
200
1,200
2,300
Notes: Mid-2011 ward population estimates are the most recent population estimates available.  
The definition of Bedworth used here includes the wards of Bede, Exhall, Heath, Poplar, Slough but  
Number may not sum due to rounding errors. All figures are rounded to the nearest 100.
not Bulkington ward, which has a population of 6,000. All figures are rounded to the nearest 100.
Source: Office for National Statistics 2011 Census, (www.statistics.gov.uk) © Crown Copyright 2013
Quality of life RepoRt 2013/14
WaRWickshiRe obseRvatoRy

14
Warwickshire at a Glance
locality Populations
  
2011 Census
Total
Children 
Working Age 
Older People 
Working Age 
Older People 
(0-15)
(16-64 years)
(65+ years)
2011 Census
Total
Children 
(0-15)
(16-64 years)
(65+ years)
Abbey & Wem Brook
18,300
3,800
12,000
2,500
Rugby Town East
14,900
2,800
9,100
3,100
Alcester & Bidford
21,500
3,700
13,000
4,900
Rugby Town North
22,700
4,700
15,600
2,500
Arbury & Stockingford
21,100
4,300
13,800
3,000
Rugby Town West
32,200
6,600
19,900
5,700
Bede & Poplar
17,800
3,400
11,300
3,100
Shipston
18,900
3,200
11,300
4,400
Bedworth North & West
19,400
3,800
12,400
3,300
South Leamington
19,300
3,000
14,600
1,800
Camp Hill & Galley Common
15,600
3,400
10,300
1,800
Southam & Feldon
17,200
3,200
10,700
3,400
Dunchurch Division
7,900
1,400
4,500
2,000
Stratford
27,400
4,400
17,200
5,900
Earl Craven
12,500
2,300
7,800
2,400
Studley & Henley
19,700
3,200
11,500
4,900
Fosse
9,900
1,800
6,500
1,600
Warwick
30,100
5,700
19,800
4,700
Kenilworth
25,300
4,100
15,900
5,300
Warwick Rural - East
9,700
1,600
5,900
2,200
North Leamington
29,400
4,500
19,700
5,200
Warwick Rural - West
14,200
2,700
9,000
2,500
North Warwickshire - East
14,700
2,600
9,400
2,700
Weddington & St. Nicolas
16,600
2,700
10,500
3,300
North Warwickshire - North
17,700
3,300
11,200
3,200
Wellesbourne & Kineton
15,700
2,800
9,700
3,200
North Warwickshire - South
15,300
2,600
9,800
2,900
Whitestone & Bulkington
16,500
2,600
9,900
4,000
North Warwickshire - West
14,300
2,400
9,200
2,600
Whitnash
9,600
1,900
6,100
1,500
 
Number may not sum due to rounding errors. All figures are rounded to the nearest 100. 
Source: Office for National Statistics 2011 Census, (www.statistics.gov.uk) © Crown Copyright 2013
Quality of life RepoRt 2013/14
WaRWickshiRe obseRvatoRy

15
About Warwickshire
Geography
Current Population
Warwickshire  lies  to  the  south  and  east  of  the  West  Midlands  conurbation,  and  has  long  The  latest  population  figures  from  the  2012  mid-year  estimates  show  that  Warwickshire 
established links with Coventry, Birmingham and Solihull in the West Midlands region, but  is  home  to  548,000  people.  This  is  an  increase  of  over  4,000  people  from  the  mid-2011 
also with the South East. Despite the focus of population within the main towns of the county,  population estimates that were reported by the Office for National Statistics in last year’s 
a significant part of Warwickshire is rural in nature. Warwickshire lies at the heart of Britain’s  Quality of Life report. Looking back at the population of Warwickshire in 2001, there has been 
transport network and several key strategic routes pass through the county.
an 8.3% increase to the latest mid-2012 estimates. This equates to 41,800 people, an increase 
Warwickshire is a two-tier local authority and comprises five district/borough areas:
larger than the population of Bedworth.
Warwickshire’s population has been growing for the past four decades with continued in-
  North Warwickshire Borough
migration from the urban areas of Coventry and Birmingham acting as a key factor behind this 
  Nuneaton & Bedworth Borough
trend. However, growth has not been consistent across Warwickshire’s five districts. Since 
2001, Rugby Borough has seen the largest increase in population across the county, up 14.4% 
  Rugby Borough
from 2001 to 2011. The population in Rugby was estimated at 100,100 people in 2011, a 
  Stratford-on-Avon District
growth of almost 13,000 people over the ten year period between the 2011 and 2011 Census. 
The area with the lowest population change is North Warwickshire Borough, up just 0.3% 
  Warwick District
from 2001.
At the most recent general election in 2010, new parliamentary boundaries came into effect 
in Warwickshire, moving from five to six constituencies:
Figure 1.1:  Population change between Census’, 1981 to 2011
  North Warwickshire
POPULATION (‘000s)
1981
1991
2001
2011
% CHANGE (2001 – 2011)
  Nuneaton
North Warwickshire
60.0
61.0
61.8
62.0
0.3%
  Rugby
Nuneaton & Bedworth
113.9
117.5
119.2
125.3
5.1%
  Kenilworth and Southam
Rugby
87.5
85.0
87.5
100.1
14.4%
  Warwick and Leamington
Stratford-on-Avon
100.6
105.4
111.6
120.5
8.0%
  Stratford-on-Avon
The  delineation  of  these  constituencies  involved  changes  to  the  boundaries  of  all  five 
Warwick
115.3
118.1
126.1
137.6
9.1%
parliamentary constituencies previously in existence.
Warwickshire
477.2
487.1
506.2
545.5
7.8%
Sources: 2011 Census: Population estimates for England and Wales, Office for National Statistics, © Crown Copyright 2013
Quality of life RepoRt 2013/14
WaRWickshiRe obseRvatoRy

16
About Warwickshire
Projected Population
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) publishes long-term sub-national population projections. The latest interim projections are trend-based and use the 2011 Census as the base year. They 
provide an indication of expected levels of population growth over the ten year period from 2011 to 2021, making assumptions about future levels of fertility, mortality and migration based 
on levels observed over a five year reference period. Therefore, they give an indication of what the future population, by age and sex structure, might be if recent trends continue, but take 
no account of future strategic policy or development plans in local authority areas.
Figure 1.2:  Population projections, 2011 to 2021
PROJECTED POPULATION (‘000s)
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
% CHANGE (2011-2021)
North Warwickshire
62.1
62.3
62.5
62.7
63
63.2
63.5
63.8
64
64.3
64.6
4.0%
Nuneaton & Bedworth
125.4
126.2
127
127.8
128.6
129.5
130.4
131.2
132.1
133
133.9
6.8%
Rugby
100.5
101.6
102.7
103.8
104.9
106.1
107.2
108.3
109.4
110.6
111.7
11.1%
Stratford-on-Avon
120.8
121.9
123
124.2
125.3
126.5
127.6
128.8
129.9
131.1
132.3
9.5%
Warwick
137.7
138.5
139.5
140.6
141.8
143
144.2
145.3
146.4
147.5
148.7
8.0%
Warwickshire
546.6
550.4
554.6
559.1
563.7
568.2
572.8
577.4
582
586.6
591.2
8.2%
Coventry
316.9
322.6
328
333.1
338
342.7
347.2
351.7
356
360.2
364.3
15.0%
Solihull
206.9
208.1
209.5
210.9
212.3
213.8
215.2
216.7
218.1
219.7
221.2
6.9%
England
53,107
53,585
54,068
54,549
55,023
55,487
55,938
56,383
56,823
57,258
57,688
8.6%
Source: 2011-based Sub-National Population Projections, National Statistics (www.statistics.gov.uk), © Crown Copyright 2013
Quality of life RepoRt 2013/14
WaRWickshiRe obseRvatoRy

17
About Warwickshire
The population of Warwickshire is projected to reach a total of 591,200 by 2021 – an increase  Across Warwickshire as a whole, the highest rates of projected population growth are in the 
of 44,600 people or 8.2% over the ten year period. Within Warwickshire, Rugby Borough  groups aged 65 years and over. The rate of growth increases with age with the eldest age 
is expected to experience the highest rates of population growth, with an 11.1% increase  group, those aged 85 and over, projected to increase by more than 40% between 2011 and 
between 2011 and 2021 (see Figure 1.2).
2021. Population projections help inform the planning of services and decisions about the 
future allocation of resources. An ageing population has implications for the future provision 
Figure 1.3:  Population projections, 2011 - 2021
of many services linked to older age groups. Population projections also inform household 
projections, which are used to estimate the future demand for housing.
12
Figure 1.4:  Projected Population change in Warwickshire by age, 2011 - 2021
10
AGE RANGE
2011
2021
% CHANGE
8
0-4
31,364
33,579
7%
om 2011
6
5-18
86,939
95,336
10%
4
19-29
71,227
67,678
-5%
% Change fr
30-49
150,671
147,015
-2%
2
50-64
106,053
119,620
13%
0
65-74
54,459
64,359
18%
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
75-84
32,485
44,607
37%
— North Warwickshire   — Nuneaton & bedworth   — rugby   — Stratford-on-avon   — Warwick   — Warwickshire     england
85+
13,356
18,989
42%
Source: 2011-based Sub-National Population Projections, National Statistics (www.statistics.gov.uk), © Crown Copyright 2013
Total
546,554
591,183
8%
Sources: 2011-based Sub-National Population Projections, National Statistics (www.statistics.gov.uk), © Crown Copyright 2013
Quality of life RepoRt 2013/14
WaRWickshiRe obseRvatoRy

18
About Warwickshire
ethnicity
Figure 1.5:  Population estimates by ethnic group, 2011
The  most  recent  population  statistics 
2011 Census
North 
Nuneaton & 
by  ethnic  group  (2011  Census)  suggest 
Warwickshire
Bedworth
Rugby
Stratford- 
on-Avon
Warwick
Warwickshire
that  non-‘White  British’  groups  make  up 
Total All Groups
62,000
125,300
100,100
120,500
137,600
545,500
approximately  12%  of  Warwickshire’s  total 
population, an increase from 7% in 2001. In 
Total White
60,700
114,300
90,400
117,100
122,700
505,200
volume terms, the ‘Asian’ and ‘Other White’ 
ethnic  groups  are  the  largest  non-‘White 
of which: 
British’ groups in the county.  
British
59,500
111,400
84,200
112,800
114,700
482,600
At district level, Warwick District is estimated 
Irish
500
700
1,000
900
2,100
5,200
to  have  the  highest  proportion  of  non-
‘White British’ residents, at 17%, and North 
Gypsy or Irish Traveller
0
100
200
200
0
500
Warwickshire  Borough  has  the  lowest 
Other White
700
2,200
5,200
3,500
5,800
17,400
proportion, at 4%. 
Total BME (including Irish, Gypsy or Irish Traveller and Other White)
2,500
13,900
15,900
7,700
22,900
62,900
of which:
Mixed/multiple ethnic group
500
1,400
2,000
1,300
2,800
7,900
Asian/Asian British
600
7,900
5,200
1,500
9,900
25,100
Black/African/Caribbean/Black British
200
1,000
2,000
300
1,000
4,400
Other Ethnic Group
0
500
300
200
1,200
2,300
Note: Rows and columns may not sum to totals due to rounding.
Source: Office for National Statistics mid-year population estimates, (www.statistics.gov.uk) © Crown Copyright 2013
CliCK ON The iNTeRACTive MAP 
more detailed data from the About Warwickshire  
and Warwickshire at a Glance sections
Quality of life RepoRt 2013/14
WaRWickshiRe obseRvatoRy

19
About Warwickshire
Mosaic Groups
Figure 1.6:  Mosaic Groups, by district, 2012
Mosaic is a tool for understanding household 
Percentage of households in Mosaic Groups
North 
Nuneaton & 
and  customer  types,  and  allocates  every 
Warwickshire
Bedworth
Rugby
Stratford- 
on-Avon
Warwick
Warwickshire
household  in  the  county  to  one  of  69 
Total Households, All Groups
26,866
51,021
43,376
54,304
60,172
235,739
categories.  It  is  built  from  Experian’s  UK 
Consumer  Dynamics  Database  and  uses 
Residents of isolated rural communities
6.6%
0.2%
3.7%
13.1%
1.7%
4.9%
400  data  variables.  It  includes  the  edited 
Residents of small and mid-sized towns with strong local roots
16.8%
6.6%
11.4%
16.6%
5.8%
10.8%
Electoral  Roll,  Experian  Lifestyle  Survey 
information,  Consumer  Credit  Activity, 
Wealthy people living in the most sought after neighbourhoods
0.4%
0.1%
1.0%
4.4%
7.7%
3.2%
self-reported  demographics  and  consumer 
Successful professionals living in suburban or semi-rural homes
13.9%
8.1%
13.5%
25.8%
14.1%
15.4%
behaviour alongside the Post Office Address 
File,  Shareholders  Register,  House  Price 
Middle income families living in moderate suburban semis
12.9%
14.2%
12.7%
5.9%
13.6%
11.7%
and  Council  Tax  information  and  ONS  local 
area  statistics.  All  of  this  information  is 
Couples with young children in comfortable modern housing
3.5%
6.6%
10.8%
11.1%
11.0%
9.2%
updated annually and used to replenish the 
Young, well-educated city dwellers
0.7%
0.3%
0.8%
0.8%
16.0%
4.6%
classification each year.
Couples and young singles in small modern starter homes
3.4%
5.3%
8.8%
3.1%
4.7%
5.1%
Mosaic  operates  at  two  levels  –  Groups 
and Types. There are 15 Groups, which are 
Lower income workers in urban terraces in often diverse areas
1.7%
11.3%
8.0%
0.1%
0.7%
4.3%
then  sub-divided  into  69  Types.  Figure  1.6 
Owner occupiers in older-style housing in ex-industrial areas
14.9%
16.3%
8.0%
3.9%
5.0%
8.9%
presents  the  distribution  of  Warwickshire’s 
households  across  the  Groups,  and  clearly 
Residents with sufficient incomes in right-to-buy social houses
13.2%
12.7%
5.2%
4.0%
5.9%
7.6%
illustrates the county’s diversity. 
Active elderly people living in pleasant retirement locations
1.6%
2.8%
4.8%
5.8%
5.3%
4.3%
Mosaic  can  be  joined  to  customer  data 
Elderly people reliant on state support
7.3%
6.3%
6.0%
4.3%
4.4%
5.4%
to  add  value  and  help  develop  a  stronger 
understanding of our customers’ behaviours, 
Young people renting flats in high density social housing
0.7%
2.7%
2.2%
0.3%
1.7%
1.6%
needs and preferences. For example, Mosaic 
Families in low-rise social housing with high levels of benefit need
2.4%
6.3%
3.1%
0.6%
2.5%
3.0%
can  give  information  on  a  household’s 
Source: Experian, Warwickshire Observatory, 2012
propensity  to  use  certain  channel  types, 
their  likely  demographics,  economic  status, 
household  size,  health  and  interests.  This 
data  is  being  used  to  support  the  County 
Council’s customer insight research. 
Quality of life RepoRt 2013/14
WaRWickshiRe obseRvatoRy