Seven Degrees of Warming

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Dear Environment Agency,

This request relates to your responsibilities around the consequences of climate change.

The US government has recently projected that "under current policies, the Earth would warm by 7 degrees Fahrenheit over pre-Industrial levels by the year 2100". (see https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/tru... )

Can you please provide (or cite) a scenario for your responsibilities of the consequences of "7 degrees Fahrenheit" of warming. If held, please also include any map of affected coastline affected by consequent sea level rise.

Yours faithfully,
Sam Smith

Enquiries, Unit, Environment Agency

5 Attachments

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National Requests, Environment Agency

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Dear Mr Smith,

 

Thank you for your request for environmental data.

 

We are treating your enquiry as an Information Request under the
Environmental Information Regulations 2004/Freedom of Information Act
2000.

 

Your request will be dealt with by our National Request Team under
reference NR102367

 

The Environment Agency covers England only.

 

For Scotland, Northern Ireland and Wales, please see the links below:

 

[1]http://www.sepa.org.uk/

 

[2]http://www.doeni.gov.uk/niea/

 

[3]http://www.naturalresourceswales.gov.uk/

 

The Environment Agency’s obligation under the relevant legislation is to
provide you with the requested information within 20 working days from the
date your enquiry is received, but we shall endeavour to respond as soon
as we can.

 

In the meantime should you have any queries regarding this request please
contact us at: [4][email address]

 

Kind Regards

 

Danielle Rogers

National Request Team, National Customer Contact Centre

Operations: Regulation, Monitoring and Customer

Environment Agency

 

( Tel: 03708 506 506

: Web Site: [5]www.gov.uk/environment-agency

 

Click an icon to keep in touch with us:-

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show quoted sections

National Requests, Environment Agency

5 Attachments

Dear Mr Smith

 

We apologise for the delay in providing a response to your request for
environmental data.

 

We are working hard to look at your request and will respond back to you
as quickly as we can.

 

Kind Regards

 

National Request Team, National Customer Contact Centre

Operations: Regulation, Monitoring and Customer

Environment Agency

 

( Tel: 03708 506 506

: Web Site: [1]www.gov.uk/environment-agency

 

Click an icon to keep in touch with us:-

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From: National Requests
Sent: 10 October 2018 14:46
To: '[FOI #524684 email]'
<[FOI #524684 email]>
Subject: NR102367

 

Dear Mr Smith,

 

Thank you for your request for environmental data.

 

We are treating your enquiry as an Information Request under the
Environmental Information Regulations 2004/Freedom of Information Act
2000.

 

Your request will be dealt with by our National Request Team under
reference NR102367

 

The Environment Agency covers England only.

 

For Scotland, Northern Ireland and Wales, please see the links below:

 

[7]http://www.sepa.org.uk/

 

[8]http://www.doeni.gov.uk/niea/

 

[9]http://www.naturalresourceswales.gov.uk/

 

The Environment Agency’s obligation under the relevant legislation is to
provide you with the requested information within 20 working days from the
date your enquiry is received, but we shall endeavour to respond as soon
as we can.

 

In the meantime should you have any queries regarding this request please
contact us at: [10][email address]

 

Kind Regards

 

Danielle Rogers

National Request Team, National Customer Contact Centre

Operations: Regulation, Monitoring and Customer

Environment Agency

 

( Tel: 03708 506 506

: Web Site: [11]www.gov.uk/environment-agency

 

Click an icon to keep in touch with us:-

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show quoted sections

National Requests, Environment Agency

5 Attachments

Dear Mr. Smith,

 

Ref: NR102367 - This request relates to Environment Agency
responsibilities around the consequences of climate change.

 

Thank you for your enquiry, which was received on 7th October 2018.

 

We respond to requests under the Freedom of Information Act 2000 and
Environmental Information Regulations 2004.

 

The information we have provided in this response, is available online as
Open Data, with the exception of one document as stated in section 3.8.
Under the exemption EIR Regulation 12(4) (d) we cannot currently share
this document due to this material being in the course of completion.

 

We have translated “7 degrees Fahrenheit” of warming to be roughly around
3.9°C of warming in UK metrics, and we have focussed our response in
relation to climate change adaptation, since the request is in relation to
the consequences of climate change.

 

1.      Our role

 

1.1    The Environment Agency is an executive non-departmental public
body, sponsored by the Department for Environment, Food & Rural Affairs
(Defra). We are the leading public body for protecting and improving the
environment in England. Our vision is to create a better place for people
and wildlife.

 

1.2    Climate change presents an ongoing challenge to our work, as almost
everything we do will be affected by climate change. This means we need to
be fully prepared for the possible impacts. Our most important
vulnerabilities concern our work on flooding, coastal erosion, water
management, habitats, and the wildlife that depend on them. We need to
ensure that not only our own business needs are resilient, but also those
that we advise, permit or operate are resilient. We take a risk-based
approach when planning for climate change, which includes planning for a
range of climate scenarios by the end of the century.

 

2.      Our adaptation report

 

2.1    [1]The Climate Change Act 2008 has created a new approach to
managing and responding to climate change in the UK, including the
addition of an ‘Adaptation Reporting Power (ARP). The ARP allows the
Secretary of State to ask key organisations to report on the steps they
are taking to prepare for climate change. In 2011, we were one of the
first organisations to report our adaptation plans under the Climate
Change Act. We have since published our second [2]Environment Agency
Adaptation Report that focusses on what our organisation is doing to adapt
to climate change this century.

 

2.2    Our adaptation report is our corporate response, and provides a
comprehensive analysis of climate risks across all our objectives by
exploring if they could be delivered under a scenario of high-end climate
change towards the end of the century, assuming that current adaptation
plans are delivered.

 

3.      Other relevant information

 

3.1    Our [3]Shoreline Management Plans (SMPs) provide a long-term
framework for dealing with coastal flooding and erosion over a large area.
SMPs take into account risks to people and the developed, historic and
natural environment. They also take climate change into account in
planning long-term coastal management.

 

3.2    Our [4]Flood Risk Management Plans (FRMPs) set out how
organisations, stakeholders and communities will work together to manage
flood risk. Our [5]River Basin Management Plans (RBMPs) set out how
organisations, stakeholders and communities will work together to improve
the water environment. Both consider climate change and it is expected
that we will test a range of climate scenarios under the refreshed plans
over the next few years.

 

3.3    We have carried out an assessment of how different investment
scenarios could affect future flood and coastal erosion risks in England
over a 50 year period within our [6]Long-Term Investment Scenarios. We
have tested our findings against a range of possible climate change
projections using the latest scenarios.

 

3.4    To help developers and local authorities ensure that new
developments and spatial plans take climate change into account in their
flood risk assessments, we have published [7]Flood risk assessments:
climate change allowances.  The allowances are based on climate change
projections and different scenarios of carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions to
the atmosphere. There are different allowances for different periods of
time over the next century and include a high end “H++” scenario (4°C+).

 

3.5    Within our Flood Risk Management advisory role we have published
[8]Adapting to Climate Change: Advice for Flood and Coastal Erosion Risk
Management Authorities. This guidance looks into a range of scenarios,
including a ‘higher end’ H++ scenario as mentioned above. This will ensure
the management authorities carry out a credible economical appraisal that
takes account of the uncertainties associated with climate change.

 

3.6    We provide advice and expertise at a national and international
level and support research programmes with our partners that help how we
manage the environment in a changing climate. Our research teams have
added their expertise into guidance such as the ‘[9]Living With
Environmental Change’ report cards, and the [10]Marine Climate Change
Impacts Partnership report cards that present the latest evidence on how
climate change affects different aspects of our environment, economy and
society. They are designed for decision-makers at any level, but in
particular for use by policy advisors, ministers and local authorities.

 

3.7    The Government is required under the 2008 Climate Change Act to
publish a climate change risk assessment every five years. [11]Climate
Change Risk Assessment 2017: Projections of future flood risk in the UK
was published to support the requirement, and considered three climate
change scenarios (a 2°C and 4°C change in Global Mean Temperature by the
2080s and a H++ scenario).

 

3.8    We have developed a set of infographics, known as the ‘Environment
Agency Climate Change Planning Tool (CCPT)’ that illustrate a possible
future climate based on the latest science. The figures used are for
national (England only) averages obtained from UK datasets. Broadly, the
evidence base is consistent with a world in which there is at least a 4°C
rise in global mean temperature by the end of the century. The tool
provides us with a vision of potential future challenges. It offers a
starting point to enable discussion and help determine what level of risk
we need to plan for. Under the exemption EIR Regulation 12(4) (d) we
cannot currently share this document due to this material being in the
course of completion. It is likely that the document will be published
over the next few months and we are happy to email the published document
in due course, provided that contact details are given.

 

4.      Request of a map of affected coastline affected by consequent sea
level rise

 

4.1    We do not currently have any maps that show how the coastline could
be affected by sea level rise under a 4°C world of climate change by the
end of the century. However, we are working on a new national flood risk
assessment that will show the impacts of climate change based on the
Government’s new projections – UK Climate Projections 2018 (UKCP18) – due
to be published later this year. This means it will be flexible enough to
allow us to consider and produce information for different scenarios. We
are near the beginning of a 13-month procurement for this project, with
delivery of our new National Flood Risk Assessment in 4 years.

 

Please get in touch if you have any further queries.

 

Yours sincerely

 

National Request Team

National Customer Contact Centre

Environment Agency

 

( Tel: 03708 506 506

: Web Site: [12]www.gov.uk/environment-agency

 

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Information in this message may be confidential and may be legally privileged. If you have received this message by mistake, please notify the sender immediately, delete it and do not copy it to anyone else.

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We may have to make this message and any reply to it public if asked to under the Freedom of Information Act, Data Protection Act or for litigation. Email messages and attachments sent to or from any Environment Agency address may also be accessed by someone other than the sender or recipient, for business purposes.
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