Explanation of data on deaths within 28 days of covid vaccine

Roedd y cais yn llwyddiannus.

Dear Public Health Scotland,
In your document
Public Health Scotland COVID-19 Statistical Report As at 21 June 2021
you state
“Between 8 December 2020 and 11 June 2021, a total of 5,522 people died within 28 days of receiving a COVID-19 vaccine in Scotland (number of days between vaccine and death is 0-27, where 0 is the day of vaccination, all age groups). A breakdown of these deaths by day and vaccine type is available in the spreadsheet provided along with this report. Using the 5-year average monthly death rate (by age band and gender) from 2015 to 2019 for comparison, 8,718 deaths would have been expected among the vaccinated population within 28 days of receiving their COVID-19 vaccination. This means the observed number of deaths is lower than expected compared with mortality rates for the same time period in previous years (dose 1 observed/expected ratio:0.66, 95%CI= 0.64 to 0.69; dose 2 observed/expected ratio: 0.59, 95%CI=0.57 to 0.62).”
1. How was the figure for expected deaths calculated?
2. Did it take into account the percentage of the population vaccinated and unvaccinated at the time of each person’s death?

Yours faithfully,

J. Mwanzia

phs foi, Public Health Scotland

1 Atodiad

Dear J. Mwanzia,

 

FREEDOM OF INFORMATION REFERENCE 2021-000749

 

Thank you for your request for information received by Public Health
Scotland on 19^thJuly 2021 requesting information about.

 

‘’ Public Health Scotland COVID-19 Statistical Report As at 21 June 2021

you state

“Between 8 December 2020 and 11 June 2021, a total of 5,522 people died
within 28 days of receiving a COVID-19 vaccine in Scotland (number of days
between vaccine and death is 0-27, where 0 is the day of vaccination, all
age groups). A breakdown of these deaths by day and vaccine type is
available in the spreadsheet provided along with this report. Using the
5-year average monthly death rate (by age band and gender) from 2015 to
2019 for comparison, 8,718 deaths would have been expected among the
vaccinated population within 28 days of receiving their COVID-19
vaccination. This means the observed number of deaths is lower than
expected compared with mortality rates for the same time period in
previous years (dose 1 observed/expected ratio:0.66, 95%CI= 0.64 to 0.69;
dose 2 observed/expected ratio: 0.59, 95%CI=0.57 to 0.62).”

 

1. How was the figure for expected deaths calculated?

2. Did it take into account the percentage of the population vaccinated
and unvaccinated at the time of each person’s death?’’

 

Your request is being dealt with and will be answered within 20 working
days in accordance with the Freedom of Information (Scotland) Act 2002.

Yours sincerely,

 

Saba ALSalahy FOI Coordinator

Public Health Scotland

Email: [1][email address]

[2]cid:image001.jpg@01D748A9.AC294E20

[3]Web | [4]Twitter | [5]Instagram

 

Your privacy:  we use your personal information such as name and address
so that we can comply with our legal obligations to respond to FOI and
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personal information, please see our Privacy Notice at
https://www.publichealthscotland.scot/ou...

 

 

 

 

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phs foi, Public Health Scotland

3 Atodiad

Dear J. Mwanzia,

 

Freedom of Information Reference: 2021-000749

 

Please find attached our response to your freedom of information request.

 

I hope this information is helpful to you.  Please do not hesitate to
contact me on[1][email address] if I can be of any further assistance.

 

If you are unhappy with our response to your request, you do have the
right to request us to review it. Your request should be made within 40
working days of receipt of this correspondence, and we will reply within
20 working days of receipt. The review will be undertaken by a reviewer
who was not involved in the original decision-making process. The reviewer
can be contacted as follows:

 

The FOI Reviewer

Public Health Scotland

Gyle Square

1 South Gyle Crescent

Edinburgh

EH12 9EB

Email: [2][email address]

 

Please note that Public Health Scotland staff are working from home
currently in line with the COVID-19 pandemic guidance. Therefore, contact
by email is preferable.

 

If our decision is unchanged following a review and you remain
dissatisfied with this, you then have the right to make a formal complaint
to the Scottish Information Commissioner within 6 months of receipt of our
review response. You can do this by using the Scottish Information
Commissioner’s Office online appeals service at
[3]www.itspublicknowledge.info/Appeal. If you remain dissatisfied with the
Commissioner’s response you then have the option to appeal to the Court of
Session on a point of law.

 

Yours sincerely,

 

Saba ALSalahy FOI Coordinator

Public Health Scotland

Email: [4][email address]

[5]cid:image001.jpg@01D748A9.AC294E20

[6]Web | [7]Twitter | [8]Instagram

 

Your privacy:  we use your personal information such as name and address
so that we can comply with our legal obligations to respond to FOI and
environmental information requests. For further details about our use of
personal information, please see our Privacy Notice at
https://www.publichealthscotland.scot/ou...

 

 

 

 

 

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This email is intended for the named recipient only. If you have received
it by mistake,
please (i) contact the sender by email reply; (ii) delete the email from
your system; .
and (iii) do not copy the email or disclose its contents to anyone.

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References

Visible links
1. mailto:[email address]
2. mailto:[email address]
3. http://www.itspublicknowledge.info/Appeal
4. mailto:[email address]
6. http://www.publichealthscotland.scot/
7. https://twitter.com/P_H_S_Official
8. https://www.instagram.com/publichealthsc...