Hymans Robertson LLP has carried out an actuarial valuation of the London Borough of Hillingdon Pension Fund
("the Fund") as at 31 March 2007, details of which are set out in the report dated 19 March 2008 ("the Report"),
addressed to the London Borough of Hillingdon ("the Client"). The Report was prepared for the sole use and
benefit of our Client and not for any other party; and Hymans Robertson LLP makes no representations or
warranties to any third party as to the accuracy or completeness of the Report.
The Report was not prepared for any third party and it will not address the particular interests or concerns of any
such third party. The Report is intended to advise our Client on the past service funding position of the Fund at
31 March 2007 and employer contribution rates from April 2008, and should not be considered a substitute for
specific advice in relation to other individual circumstances.
As this Report has not been prepared for a third party, no reliance by any party will be placed on the Report. It
follows that there is no duty or liability by Hymans Robertson LLP (or its members, partners, officers, employees
and agents) to any party other than the named Client. Hymans Robertson LLP therefore disclaims all liability and
responsibility arising from any reliance on or use of the Report by any person having access to the Report or by
anyone who may be informed of the contents of the Report.
Hymans Robertson LLP is the owner of all intellectual property rights in the Report and the Report is protected by
copyright laws and treaties around the world. All rights are reserved.
The report must not be used for any commercial purposes unless Hymans Robertson LLP agrees in advance.
Bryan T Chalmers
London Borough of
Hillingdon Pension Fund
Fellow of the Faculty of Actuaries
ctuarial Valuation as at 31 March 2007
For and on behalf of Hymans Robertson LLP
A
19 March 2008
LONDON BOROUGH OF HILLINGDON PENSION FUND
HYMANS ROBERTSON LLP
PAGE
Executive Summary
1
1
Introduction 3
2
About the Fund
4
3
Funding Method and Assumptions
7
4
Funding Position: Are the Objectives Met?
10
5
Changes since the Previous Valuation
11
6
Employer Contributions Payable
14
7
Actuarial Risk Analysis
16
APPENDICES
Appendix A – About the actuarial valuation
21
Appendix B – Summary of the fund’s benefits
22
Appendix C – Membership data and assets
30
Appendix D – Funding method
34
Appendix E – Changes since the previous valuation
36
Appendix F – Actuarial assumptions
40
Appendix G – Detailed valuation results
43
Appendix H – Rates and adjustments certificate
44
Statement to the rates and adjustments certificate
45
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Executive summary
I have carried out an actuarial valuation of the London Borough of Hillingdon Pension Fund (‘the Fund’) as at 31
March 2007 (‘the valuation date’). The results are presented in this report and summarised below.
The Fund’s objective of holding sufficient assets to meet the estimated current cost of providing members’ past
service benefits) was not met at the valuation date. The funding level was 92% (compared to 88% at 31 March
2004) and there was a funding shortfall of £50m.
Without anticipating an element of future equity out-performance, the ‘gilt-based’ funding level would be 72% at
the valuation date, and there would be a shortfall of £228m.
The Fund’s financial position at the valuation date is illustrated graphically in the chart below.
future
Future
out-performance
gilts basis
Service
ongoing
basis
future service
£32m
contributions
£22m
future out-
performance £178m
gilts basis
“
deficit
£50m
£805m
contributions
Past
gilts basis
ongoing
Service
basis
assets
£627m £577m
The employers’ average future service contribution rate as at 31 March 2007 (ignoring the past service shortfall)
is 14.8% of pensionable pay. Assuming that a funding level of 100% is to be targeted over a period of 25 years,
the common employers’ contribution rate is 16.8% of pensionable pay. These figures take advance credit from
outperformance of the Fund’s assets relative to gilt yields on the valuation basis, as set out in the Funding
Strategy Statement. Ignoring this credit for outperformance the future service rate would be 24.2%, and the
common contribution rate would be 31.8% of pay.
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Adjustments have been made to the common rate of employers’ contribution to take account of certain
circumstances that are peculiar to individual employers, as required by Regulation 77(6). The minimum
contributions to be paid by each employer from 1 April 2008 to 31 March 2011 are shown in the Rates and
Adjustment Certificate at Appendix H.
The results of the valuation are very sensitive to the actuarial assumptions made. If actual future demographic
and economic experience does not match the assumptions, the financial position of the Fund could deteriorate
materially.
Bryan T Chalmers
Fellow of the Faculty of Actuaries
19 March 2008
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1 Introduction
I have carried out an actuarial valuation of the London Borough of Hillingdon Pension Fund (‘the Fund’) as at 31
March 2007 (‘the valuation date’) and this is my report to London Borough of Hillingdon (‘the Administering
Authority’) on the results of the valuation.
The main purposes of this valuation are:
•
to assess the extent to which the Administering Authority‘s funding objectives were met at the valuation
date;
•
to identify the contributions payable by the employers to the Fund in future in order to meet the
Administering Authority‘s funding objectives;
•
to enable completion of all relevant certificates and statements in connection with the Local Government
Pension Scheme Regulations 1997 (‘the Regulations’), and other relevant regulations (see Appendix A);
and
•
to comment on the circumstances that may give rise to future volatility in the funding level of the Fund or
employers’ contributions.
This report is provided solely for the purpose of the Administering Authority to consider the management of the
Fund and in particular to fulfil their and my statutory obligations. It should not be used for any other purpose. It
should not be released or otherwise disclosed to any third party except as required by law or with my prior
written consent, in which case it should be released in its entirety. This report can be passed to Fund
employers for the purpose of providing information on the funding of the Fund.
Neither I nor Hymans Robertson LLP accept any liability to any other party unless we have expressly accepted
such liability in writing.
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2
About the Fund
The Fund is part of the Local Government Pension Scheme (LGPS) and is a multi-employer defined benefit
pension scheme. It is contracted out of the State Second Pension.
The funding strategy statement
The Administering Authority prepares a Funding Strategy Statement (FSS) in respect of the Fund, in
collaboration with me (the Fund’s actuary) and after consultation with the Fund’s employers and investment
advisors. The FSS has been reviewed as part of the 2007 triennial valuation exercise. I am required to have
regard to this statement when carrying out my valuation.
Funding objectives
The objectives of the Fund’s funding policy, as set out in the FSS are as follows:
•
to ensure the long-term solvency of the Fund;
•
to ensure that sufficient funds are available to meet all benefits as they fall due for payment;
•
not to restrain unnecessarily the investment strategy of the Fund so that the Administering Authority
can seek to maximise investment returns (and hence minimise the cost of the benefits) for an
appropriate level of risk;
•
to minimise the degree of short-term change in the level of each employer’s contributions where the
Administering Authority considers it reasonable to do so; and
•
to use reasonable measures to reduce the risk to other employers and ultimately to the Council Tax
payer from an employer defaulting on its pension obligations.
What are the fund’s liabilities?
The Fund’s liabilities are essentially the benefits promised to Fund members (past and current contributors) and
to members’ dependants on their death. The valuation places a current or present value on these liabilities on
the valuation date.
The cost of members’ benefits depends on three main factors:
(i)
The benefits promised to members.
The Fund provides pensions and other benefits to members and their beneficiaries. The benefits in
force on the valuation date are set out in the Local Government Pension Scheme (LGPS) Regulations
1997, as amended (“the Regulations”). Employee members are required to pay contributions to the
Fund, generally at the rate of 6% of pensionable pay1. The principal elements of the Fund’s benefit
structure are summarised in Appendix B. These benefits are common to all employers participating in
the Fund.
The benefits and member contributions payable by and to the LGPS respectively, have been amended,
with effect from 1 April 2008. As the Rates and Adjustments certificate specifies employer contributions
from 1 April 2008 to 31 March 2011, I have allowed for the changes in assessing the cost of future
service benefits.
1 A closed group of manual workers who joined before April 1998 contribute 5% of pay.
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The allowance made is based on my understanding of the provisions of the new scheme and is subject
to change as any changes are made to the new scheme. A summary of the changes is set out in
Appendix B.
There are a small number of discretionary powers that may be exercised by the Administering Authority
or by individual employers. The principal discretions are also summarised in Appendix B. With the
exception of the employers’ powers to pay early unreduced benefits or augment benefits, normally on
early retirement, I would not expect the exercise of these powers to have a material effect on the
valuation results. In any event, I would expect additional employer payments, in addition to the
employer contributions set out in the rates and adjustments certificate, to be made in respect of such
early retirements unless agreed otherwise.
The requirements of sex-equality legislation (for example in respect of differences in the guaranteed
minimum pensions for men and women) and age-equality legislation are not clear cut. In this valuation,
I have not taken account of any additional costs which may arise from any future requirement to amend
the LGPS benefit structure in respect of these issues.
(ii)
The profile of the member.
The membership of the Fund at the current and previous two valuations are summarised in the chart
below and described in more detail in Appendix C.
100%
3,942
4,135
4,490
80%
60%
Pensioners
2,600
3,299
4,260
Deferred Pensioners
40%
Employees
20%
4,570
5,408
6,056
0%
2001
2004
2007
The cost of the benefits is expressed as a percentage of the pensionable pay of employee members.
As the proportion of pensioner and deferred members increases, so the contribution rate (as a
percentage of pay) becomes more sensitive to the past service position. The profile of the employee
members (age, sex and category) also affects how much future benefits will cost.
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(iii)
When and for how long will the benefits be paid.
The timing and amount of benefit payments depends on future experience, such as when members will
retire and how long they will live in retirement. In assessing the expected cost of members’ benefits, I
need to use actuarial assumptions about such experience. I explain the actuarial assumptions later in
this report.
It should be noted that the actual future cost of providing members’ benefits is not known in advance.
The purpose of the valuation is to assess how much the Fund needs to hold now to pay those benefits,
taking account the above factors and its funding objectives.
What are the fund’s assets?
The Fund’s assets are invested by the Administering Authority. The market value of assets at the valuation date
(excluding money purchase AVC funds) was £576.6m as shown in the audited accounts for the Fund for the
period ending on 31 March 2007. No part of the Fund is comprised of insurance policies.
The Fund’s assets at 31 March 2007 are summarised in the chart below and in more detail in Appendix C. The
consolidated Revenue Account for the three year period to 31 March 2007 is also summarised in Appendix C.
Cash, 12.0
Property, 51.9
Corporate
Bonds, 34.5
UK equities,
265.9
Government
Bonds, 32.1
Overseas
equities, 180.2
Notes: (1)
Cash includes net current assets (liabilities).
(2)
The assets taken into account for valuation purposes include the present value of future
contributions scheduled to be made by employers in respect of early retirements granted before
the valuation date.
The membership and accounting data has been provided by the Administering Authority and I have relied on the
accuracy of the information provided.
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Funding method and assumptions
I have used a funding method and assumptions for this valuation consistent with the Administering Authority’s
funding objectives set out in its Funding Strategy Statement. The methodology and assumptions are described
below, and in more detail in Appendices D and F.
Methodology
For this valuation, as for the previous valuation, I have used a funding method which identifies separately the
expected cost of members’ benefits in respect of scheme membership completed before the valuation date
(‘past service’) and in respect of scheme membership expected to be completed after the valuation date (‘future
service’).
The method I have chosen compares the value of assets with the value of past service benefits, taking account
of all expected future salary increases. The funding level is the value of the assets divided by the value of the
past service liabilities. Where the funding level is greater than 100% there is a surplus in the fund (i.e. where
assets are greater than the value of the past service benefits). Where the funding level is less than 100% there
is a shortfall (i.e. where the assets are lower than the value of the past service benefits). The funding target is
to achieve a funding level of 100% over a specific period. The “past service adjustment” is the additional
employer contribution calculated to be required to target 100% over that period if there is a deficit (a contribution
reduction will be calculated if there is a surplus). The past service adjustments can be expressed as a monetary
amount or as a percentage of the value of the members’ pensionable pay over the period.
To determine the employer contribution requirement for future service for the Fund as a whole, and for
employers who continue to admit new members, I have assessed the cost of future service benefits for the year
following the valuation date, taking account of expected future salary increases. The contribution rate required
to meet the expected cost of future service benefits is derived as this value less expected member contributions
expressed as a percentage of the value of members’ pensionable pay over the year. This is known as the
‘Projected Unit method’ and is explained in further detail in Appendix D.
To determine the employer contribution requirement for future service for employers who no longer admit new
members, I have assessed the cost of future service benefits over the expected remaining period of contributory
membership of employee members, again taking account of expected future salary increases. The contribution
rate required to meet the expected cost of future service benefits is derived as this value less expected member
contributions expressed as a percentage of the value of members’ pensionable pay over their expected future
working lives. This is known as the ‘Attained Age method’ and is explained in further detail in Appendix D.
Finally, an allowance for expenses is added to the Employer contribution rate.
Actuarial assumptions
In the actuarial valuation, I must use assumptions about the factors affecting the Fund’s finances in the future.
The assumptions to which the valuation is most sensitive are described here and a full statement of the
assumptions is given in Appendix F.
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The main financial assumptions I have adopted for the valuation of members’ benefits are shown below.
Rate at 31 March 2007
Assumption
Derivation
Nominal
Real
Market expectation of long term future inflation as
measured by the difference between yields on
Price Inflation (RPI)
3.2%
-
fixed and index-linked Government bonds as at
the valuation date
Assumed to be 1.5% p.a. in excess of price
Pay Increases *
4.7%
1.5%
inflation
The yield on fixed-interest (nominal) and index-
‘Gilt-based’ discount rate
4.5%
1.3%
linked (real) Government bonds
Assumed to be 1.55% p.a. above the yield on fixed
Funding basis discount rate
6.1%
2.8%
interest Government bonds
* Plus an allowance for promotional pay increases.
Discount rate
In order to place a current value on the future benefit cashflows expected to be paid from the Fund, I need to
‘discount’ the future cashflows to the valuation date at a suitable rate. Different valuations can be categorised
by the approach taken to setting the discount rate. For example, under the accounting standard FRS17, the
discount rate is determined as the yield on AA-rated corporate bonds. By comparison, a ’gilt-based’ valuation
will use the yield on suitably dated Government bonds. These valuations are intended to place a ‘value’ on the
pension promise.
The funding valuation is effectively a budgeting exercise, to assess the funds needed to meet the benefits as
they fall due. For this purpose, I have set the discount rate taking into account the Fund’s current and expected
future investment strategy and assumed an asset outperformance assumption of 1.6% p.a. One way of
measuring the degree of prudence in the funding strategy is to measure the extent to which advance credit is
taken for expected future investment returns over and above gilt returns. Funding strategy should not however
be considered in isolation and the degree of risk inherent in the Fund’s investment strategy should also be
considered.
Longevity
In addition to the financial assumptions, the main assumption to which the valuation results are most sensitive is
that relating to future longevity. For this valuation, I have adopted assumptions which give the following average
future life expectancies for pensioners aged 65 at the valuation date:
Assumptions to assess funding
Assumptions to assess funding
position and ‘gilt based’ position at
position at 31 March 2004
31 March 2007
Males (M) or Females (F)
M
F
M
F
Average future life expectancy (in years) for a
19.6
22.5
18.4
21.3
pensioner aged 65 at the valuation date
Average future life expectancy (in years) at age 65 for
20.7
23.6
18.4
21.3
a non-pensioner aged 45 at the valuation date
Average future life expectancy (in years) at age 45 for
40.1
43.0
37.2
40.2
a non-pensioner aged 45 at the valuation date
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Assets
I have taken the assets of the Fund into account at their market value as indicated in the audited accounts for
the period ended 31 March 2007.
I have included an allowance for the future expected payments in respect of early retirement strain and
augmentation costs granted prior to the valuation date in the value of assets, for consistency with the liabilities
and with the previous valuation.
In my opinion, the basis for placing a value on members’ benefits is compatible with that for valuing the assets:
both are related to market conditions at the valuation date.
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Funding position: are the objectives met?
As I noted earlier, the Administering Authority has prepared a Funding Strategy Statement which sets out its
funding objectives for the Fund. In broad terms, the main ‘past service’ objective is to hold sufficient assets in
the Fund to meet the assessed cost of members’ past service benefits and the main ‘future service’ objective is
to maintain a relatively stable employer contribution rate. These objectives are potentially conflicting.
Past service
In assessing the extent to which the funding objective was met at the valuation date, I have used the funding
method and actuarial assumptions described in the previous section of this report. My results are presented in
the form of a ‘funding level’ which is the ratio of the value of assets to the assessed cost of members’ past
service benefits (based on service to the valuation date). A funding level of 100% would correspond to the
objective being exactly met. The table below compares the value of the assets and liabilities at the valuation
date.
Valuation date
2007
Past Service Liabilities
£m
Employees
267.5
Deferred Pensioners
109.8
Pensioners
249.1
Total Liabilities
626.4
Assets
576.9
Surplus/(Deficit)
(50)
Funding Level
92%
At the valuation date the funding level was 92%.
The main funding objective was not met: there was a shortfall of assets to the assessed cost of members’
benefits of £50m. More details of the funding position are given in Appendix G.
Future service
I have calculated the long-term contribution rate that the Fund employers would need to pay to meet the
assessed cost of members’ benefits as they are built up in the future (the ‘future service contribution rate’).
Again, I have used the method and assumptions set out in the previous section of this report and therefore the
resulting contribution rate is that which should (if the actuarial assumptions match actual experience) ensure
that the Administering Authority‘s main funding objective is met for benefits earned after the valuation date. It
ignores the shortfall in the Fund at the valuation date.
The combined employers’ future service contribution rate (after deducting employee members’ contributions) is
14.8% of pensionable pay, payable with effect from 1 April 2008. This contribution rate includes expenses and
the expected cost of lump sum death benefits, but excludes early retirement strain and augmentation costs
which are payable by Fund employers in addition to the contribution rate.
The total employer contribution rate requirement is given in section 6, with further detail, including a comparison
with 2004 rates, shown in Appendix G.
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Changes since the previous valuation
The previous formal actuarial valuation of the Fund was carried out with an effective date of 31 March 2004.
Since then, there have been changes to the Fund and its membership, to the economic environment in which
the Fund operates and to the valuation process. Many of these changes have affected the valuation results.
The relevant changes, and their effects on the actuarial valuation, are described in Appendix E and summarised
below.
Changes to the Fund’s benefit structure
Since the previous valuation, a number of changes have been made to the LGPS benefit structure. Full details
of the scheme benefits are set out in Appendix B and the changes and their effect on the valuation are detailed
in Appendix E.
The overall effect of these changes is to reduce the cost of the benefits.
Changes to the funding assumptions
The financial assumptions have changed since the previous valuation. The financial assumptions used in this
and the previous valuation are shown in Appendix F. Further detail on changes is included in Appendix E.
Changes to the economic environment
Since the previous valuation, equity markets have risen and bond markets have risen (so yields have fallen).
Market expectations of inflation have risen. Overall, changes in economic factors have been favourable in
terms of their effect on the funding level. Lower real gilt yields have however increased the assessed cost of
future service benefits.
Changes to the Fund membership
The Fund membership has changed since the previous valuation, as new employee members have joined the
Fund and members have left the Fund, retired and died. Whilst membership changes were anticipated at the
previous valuation, the actual changes have inevitably not exactly matched the assumptions made at the
previous valuation.
Further details of the Fund membership and its changes since the previous valuation are given in Appendix C.
Changes to the Fund’s assets
The Fund’s assets have been augmented by employer and employee contributions paid in, transfer values
received, and interest and investment gains. Conversely, the assets have been depleted by benefit payments
to members and their beneficiaries, transfer values and refunds paid and payment of administration and other
expenses. Overall, there has been a net increase in the market value of the Fund’s assets, only some of which
was anticipated in the previous valuation.
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In the report on the previous actuarial valuation I recommended that contributions be paid in line with the rates
shown in the Rates and Adjustment certificate appended to that report over the period from 1 April 2005 to 31
March 2008. The Fund employers have paid contributions over the period from 1 April 2005 at least in line with
those recommended rates.
Changes to the funding position
The changes described above have combined to improve the Fund’s funding position since the previous
valuation. The chart below illustrates the effect of the various factors on the funding position.
-53.5
Surplus(Deficit) at Last Valuation
Interest on surplus(deficit)
-10.8
Investment returns greater than expected
106.9
Change in demographic assumptions
-19.7
Experience items
-8.5
Contributions less than cost of accrual
-4.8
Change in financial assumptions
-53.4
Miscellaneous items
-5.8
-49.5
Surplus(Deficit) at This Valuation
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100 120
£m
Changes to the contribution requirement
The maturing of the Fund’s employee membership coupled with the fall in real gilt yields and changes to the
funding assumptions have led to an increase in the assessed cost of future benefit accruing, as shown by the
chart below.
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Future service rate in 2004
11.25%
Roll forward to 2007
0.2%
Changes in demographic assumptions-0.2%
Allowance for commutation at 50%-0.3%
Change in life expectancy
0.8%
Change in asset outperformance
0.5%
Change in market conditions
2.0%
Abolition of the rule of 85
0.0%
New scheme 2008
0.6%
Future service rate in 2007
14.8%
-2% 0%
2%
4%
6%
8% 10% 12% 14% 16%
The past service adjustment has fallen due to the improved funding position. Overall the common contribution
rate has increased since the previous valuation to 16.8% of pensionable pay.
Further detail on the funding level and contribution requirements is shown in section 6.
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Employer contributions payable
Whole fund position
The employers’ average cost of future service benefits (i.e. ignoring the past service shortfall) is 14.8% of
pensionable pay (as defined in Appendix B). This is the future contribution rate payable over the long term by
the Fund employers to meet the Administering Authority‘s funding objectives, based on the assumptions set out
in this report.
The common contribution rate payable is the cost of future benefit accrual, increased by an amount to bring the
funding level back to 100% over a period of 25 years as set out in the Funding Strategy Statement.
I have calculated the additional contribution rate in respect of the past service shortfall to be 2.1% of
pensionable pay. This represents the cost of the past service shortfall spread over a period of 25 years.
The employer common contribution rate based on the funding position as at 31 March 2007 is as follows:
31 March 2007
Employer contribution rates
% pensionable payroll
Total future service cost
20.7%
Employee contributions (excluding AVCs)
6.6%
Expenses
0.7%
Net employer future service cost
14.8%
Past service adjustment - 25 year spread
2.1%
Employer contribution rate
16.8%
In order to achieve some stability of contributions, the required contribution increases for employers may be
phased in over a period as specified in the Fund’s Funding Strategy Statement.
Employer contribution rates
I have made adjustments to the common rate of employers’ contribution to take account of certain
circumstances that are peculiar to individual employers, or groups of employers.
To formally confirm these contribution rates, a Rates and Adjustments Certificate is included as Appendix H,
detailing the minimum contributions to be paid by each Fund employer from 1 April 2008 to 31 March 2011 after
allowing for any individual adjustments.
Employers may make voluntary additional contributions to recover any shortfall over a shorter period.
Further sums should be paid to the Fund by employers to meet the capital costs of any unreduced early
retirements, reduced early retirements before age 60 and/or augmentation (i.e. additional membership or
additional pension) using the methods and factors issued by me from time to time or as otherwise agreed.
In addition, payments may be required to be made to the Fund by employers to meet the capital costs of any ill-
health retirements that exceed those allowed for within my assumptions.
The contributions shown in the Rates and Adjustment Certificate include expenses and the expected cost of
lump sum death benefits, but excludes early retirement strain and augmentation costs which are payable by
Fund employers in addition.
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Recommendations
Valuation frequency
Under the provisions of the Regulations, the next formal valuation of the Fund is due to be carried out as at 31
March 2010. In light of the uncertainty of future financial conditions I recommend that the financial position of
the Fund (and for individual employers in some cases) is monitored by means of interim funding reviews in the
period up to the next triennial valuation. This will give early warning of changes to funding positions and
possible contribution rate changes.
Investment strategy and risk management
I recommend that the Administering Authority reviews its investment strategy and ongoing risk management
programme.
New employers joining the fund
Any new employers or admission bodies joining the Fund should be referred to me as the Fund actuary for
individual calculation as to the required level of contribution. They should also agree to pay the capital costs (as
a one-off lump sum payment) of any early retirements or augmentation based on my advice and using methods
and factors issued by the actuary from time to time, together with any additional contributions that may be
required if their ill-health early retirement experience is worse than assumed.
Other matters
Any Admission Body who ceases to participate in the Fund should be referred to me in accordance with
Regulation 78 of the Regulations.
Any bulk movement of scheme members:
•
involving 10 or more scheme members being transferred from or to another LGPS fund, or
•
involving 2 or more scheme members being transferred from or to a non-LGPS pension arrangement
should be referred to me to consider the impact on the Fund.
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7
Actuarial risk analysis
The valuation results depend critically on the actuarial assumptions made, in particular the net discount rate (the
gap between the discount rate and the rate at which benefits and pensionable pay increase in future), and the
assumptions for future life expectancy.
In section 4, in order to place a current value on the liabilities, I discounted the future cashflows to the valuation
date assuming that the assets held by the Fund will outperform index-linked gilts by 1.6% p.a. One way of
measuring the degree of prudence in the funding strategy is to measure the extent to which advance credit is
taken for expected future investment returns over and above gilt returns. While the current investment strategy
is expected to yield investment returns in excess of those available on closely matching Government bonds,
such returns cannot be guaranteed and can only be achieved with a higher level of risk of underperformance.
To illustrate the potential costs of reducing this mismatching risk, I have also calculated the amount of assets
that would be needed at the valuation date to enable the Administering Authority to invest in closely matching
Government bonds.
The following chart summarises the effect on the valuation results if no advance credit was taken for additional
outperformance above gilt returns (i.e. a ‘gilts basis’ was used to value the liabilities).
future
Future
out-performance
gilts basis
Service
ongoing
basis
future service
£32m
contributions
£22m
future out-
performance
£178m
gilts basis
“
deficit
£50m
£805m
contributions
Past
gilts basis
ongoing
Service
basis
assets
£627m
£577m
On this basis, the Administering Authority would need assets of some £805m resulting in a shortfall of £228m at
the valuation date. Looked at another way, the assessed cost of members’ past service benefits of £627m
shown in Section 4 of this report implicitly assume that the Administering Authority‘s investment strategy will
ultimately generate investment growth of £178m in excess of that available on closely matching Government
bonds.
Over time, the funding position and the contributions required will depend on the extent to which future
experience matches the assumptions made. In the previous section, I showed the extent to which the
assumptions made at the previous valuation did not reflect actual experience over the period to 31 March 2007.
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The valuation results do not include explicit contingency reserves for other unexpected financial and
demographic effects. In this section I discuss the potential implications of the actuarial assumptions not being
met in the future.
Investment risk
The valuation results are particularly sensitive to the assumed discount rate (i.e. the assumed future investment
returns). If future investment returns are less than the assumed discount rate, the funding level will deteriorate.
To illustrate the sensitivity of the funding level to changes in equity and bond markets, I have considered the
impact of the following events occurring soon after 31 March 2007:
•
Equities and equity-type investments (such as property) fall by 25%, with no change in bond markets;
•
The price of bonds rises so that there is a 1% fall in the nominal redemption yields available on fixed
interest bonds and a 0.5% fall in the real yield available on index-linked bonds, with no change in equity
markets.
The events illustrated are by no means exhaustive. They should not be taken as the limit of how extreme future
experience could be.
The chart below shows how the funding position would be affected if those events occurred on 31 March 2007.
Sensitivity to Market Conditions
Surplus/(deficit)
-£98
Bond yields fall
Value of assets
-£174
Equities fall
Total liabilities
-£50
Valuation Results
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
£m
In fact, over the period from 31/3/07 to 05/03/08, UK equity markets have fallen by around 6% and there have
also been falls in the yields available on index-linked UK government bonds. If these market conditions had
applied at 31 March 2007, the funding position would have been as shown in the chart below.
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Recent Market Conditions
Surplus/(deficit)
-£108
Value of assets
Recent market conditions
Total liabilities
-£50
Valuation Results
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
£m
Longevity risk
The valuation results are very sensitive to unexpected changes in future longevity. If longevity improves in the
future at a faster pace than allowed for in the valuation assumptions, the Fund’s funding level will decline and
the required employer contribution rate will increase. Recent medical advances, changes in lifestyles and
generally greater awareness of health-related matters have resulted in longevity improving in recent years at a
faster pace than most experts had foreseen. It is unknown whether such improvements will continue in the
future. Certain factors, such as advancements in genetic medicine would point towards even greater
improvements in longevity in the future; conversely, the increase in childhood obesity may result in a decline in
longevity in future generations.
As a measure of the sensitivity of the valuation to future life expectancy I have considered the results which
would arise if I assumed that
•
mortality rates at all ages immediately fall by 25%;
•
the improvements in longevity of pensioners seen recently cease altogether so that future mortality rates
are the same as current ones.
The events illustrated are by no means exhaustive. They should not be taken as the limit of how extreme future
experience could be.
The chart below shows how the funding level would be affected if those events occurred on 31 March 2007.
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Sensitivity to Improvements in Life Expectancy
Surplus/(deficit)
Value of assets
Total Liabilities
-£28
No further improvement
-£90
Mortality rates fal by 25%
-£50
Valuation Results
-200
0
200
400
600
800
£m
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Other risks and sensitivities
The other main assumptions to which the valuation results are sensitive, together with their associated risks, are
described below.
Risk
Effect on funding
Effect on future
level
service benefits
Fund assets fail to deliver returns in line with the
Reduction None
anticipated returns underpinning valuation of liabilities
over the long-term
Fall in risk-free returns on Government bonds, leading Reduction
Increase if future
to rise in value placed on liabilities
returns are expected
to be lower than
previously assumed
Pay and price inflation more than anticipated
Reduction
Increase if expected
to continue
Pensioners living longer than anticipated in the
Reduction
Increase if expected
valuation assumptions.
to continue
More members retiring early on ill-health grounds,
Reduction
Increase if expected
and/or retiring at a younger age than assumed
to continue
Fewer active members withdrawing from pensionable
Reduction
Increase if expected
service (with refunds of contributions or deferred
to continue
pensions) than assumed
Members convert less pension to cash at retirement
Reduction
Increase if expected
than assumed
to continue
Average age of the employee membership rises
Marginal effect
Increase
Changes to regulations to be more favourable in
Reduction if changes
Increase
respect of benefits package
affect past service
Changes to national pension requirements and/or
Reduction if changes
Increase
HMRC rules to be more favourable to members e.g.
affect past service
effect of abolition of earnings cap for post 1989
entrants from April 2006
Bryan T Chalmers FFA
For and on behalf of Hymans Robertson LLP
19 March 2008
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Appendix A – About the actuarial valuation
This valuation is carried out in accordance with Regulation 77 of the Local Government Pension Scheme
Regulations 1997, as amended, (‘the Regulations’), which specifies that the Administering Authority must
obtain:
•
an actuarial valuation of the assets and liabilities of the Fund as at 31 March 1998 and every three years
thereafter;
•
a report by an actuary; and
•
a rates and adjustments certificate.
Within the rates and adjustment certificate I am required to specify:
•
the employers’ common contribution rate which, in my opinion, should be paid by all employers so as to
ensure the Fund’s solvency, and
•
any individual adjustments (increases or decreases) to the common contribution rate which, in my
opinion, are required by reason of any circumstances peculiar to that employer,
which for this valuation apply for each year of the period of three years beginning with 1 April 2008.
Under the provisions of the Regulations, I am required to have regard to:
•
the existing and prospective liabilities of the Fund arising from circumstances common to all those bodies
participating in the Fund,
•
the desirability of maintaining as nearly constant a rate as possible, and
•
the Administering Authority's funding strategy statement.
This report has been prepared in accordance with version 8.1 of the guidelines ‘GN9: Funding Defined Benefits
- Presentation of Actuarial Advice’ published the Board for Actuarial Standards. However the following aspects
of GN9 are not relevant to the LGPS and its funds in the current circumstances and I have not reported on
them:
•
Paragraph 3.4.16 of GN9 requires the actuary to include the certification of technical provision in relation
to a valuation under Part 3 of the Pensions Act 2004. As Part 3 of the Pensions Act 2004 does not apply
to the LGPS, this report does not comply with paragraph 3.4.16 of GN9; and
•
Part 3.5 of GN9 requires the actuary to report on the value of the liabilities that would arise had the Fund
wound up on the valuation date (based on the cost of buying out the accrued benefits with insurance
policies). As the LGPS is a statutory scheme, there is no regulatory provision for scheme wind up and
the scheme members have a statutory right to their accrued benefits. Therefore the concept of solvency
on a buy-out basis does not apply to the Fund. Accordingly, this report does not comply with part 3.5 of
GN9.
The previous formal actuarial valuation was carried out as at 31 March 2004 by myself and the results were set
out in my report dated 31 March 2005.
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Appendix B – Summary of the fund’s benefits
The non-discretionary Fund benefits that I have taken into account in this valuation for active members are summarised below.
Provision
Benefit Structure To 31 March 2008
Benefit Structure From 1 April 2008
Normal retirement age
Age 65.
Age 65.
(NRA)
Earliest retirement age
As per NRA (age 65).
(ERA) on which
immediate unreduced
Protections apply to active members in the scheme immediately prior to 1 October 2006 who would have been entitled to immediate payment of
benefits can be paid on
unreduced benefits prior to 65, due to:
voluntary retirement
(a) having previously had an NRA of age 60 (or after age 60 on attaining 25 years of scheme membership), due to being a member of the
scheme immediately prior to 1 April 1998; or
(b) having the potential to satisfy the rule of 85 prior to age 65 (if the sum of age (whole years) and membership (whole years) is 85 or more).
The benefits relating to various segments of scheme membership are protected as follows, which means their benefits are calculated based on
the above definitions of earliest retirement age in relation to these protected periods of scheme membership:
(a) A member born on 31 March 1956 or earlier – membership up to 31 March 2016 protected;
(b) A member born between 1 April 1956 and 31 March 1960 inclusive and who would reach their Earliest Retirement Age by 31st March 2020
– Membership prior to 31 March 2008 fully protected and membership between 1 April 2008 and 31 March 2020 subject to some protection
(tapered);
(c) All other members in the scheme immediately prior to 1 October 2006 – membership up to 31 March 2008 protected.
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Provision
Benefit Structure To 31 March 2008
Benefit Structure From 1 April 2008
Member contributions
Officers - 6% of pensionable pay
Banded rates (5.5%-7.5%) depending upon level of full-time equivalent
pay. This will apply to all members formerly paying 6%. Protected
Manual Workers – 5% of pensionable pay if has protected lower rates
manual workers will be subject to transitional rates. From 2010 a
rights or 6% for post 31 March 1998 entrants or former entrants with
mechanism for sharing any increased scheme costs between
no protected rights.
employers and scheme members may be implemented.
Pensionable pay
All salary, wages, fees and other payments in respect of the employment, excluding non-contractual overtime and some other specified
amounts.
Some scheme members may be covered by special agreements.
Final pay
The pensionable pay in the year up to the date of leaving the scheme. Alternative methods used in some cases, e.g. where there has been a
break in service or a drop in pensionable pay.
Period of scheme
Total years and days of service during which a member of the Fund. Additional periods may be granted (e.g. transfers from other pension
membership
arrangements, augmentation, or from April 2008 the award of additional pension).
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Provision
Benefit Structure To 31 March 2008
Benefit Structure From 1 April 2008
Normal retirement
Annual Retirement Pension - 1/80th of final pay for each year of
Scheme membership to 31 March 2008:
benefits at NRA
scheme membership.
Annual Retirement Pension - 1/80th of final pay for each year of
Lump Sum Retirement Grant - 3/80th of final pay for each year of
scheme membership.
scheme membership. Additional lump sum can be provided by
commutation of pension (within overriding limits) on a basis of £12
Lump Sum Retirement Grant - 3/80th of final pay for each year of
additional pension for each £1 of pension surrendered.
scheme membership. Additional lump sum can be provided by
commutation of pension (within overriding limits) on a basis of £12
additional lump sum for each £1 of pension surrendered.
Scheme membership from 1 April 2008:
Annual Retirement Pension - 1/60th of final pay for each year of
scheme membership.
Lump Sum Retirement Grant – none except by commutation of
pension
Option to increase or
At the time that benefits come into payment, members have the option
Scheme membership to 31 March 2008:
decrease retirement
to exchange (‘commute’) some of the retirement pension into
lump sum benefit
additional lump sum up to HMRC limits. The terms for the conversion
At the time that benefits come into payment, members have the option
of pension in to lump sum is £12 of lump sum for every £1 of annual
to exchange (‘commute’) some of the retirement pension into
pension surrendered.
additional lump sum up to HMRC limits. The terms for the conversion
of pension in to lump sum is £12 of lump sum for every £1 of annual
pension surrendered.
Scheme membership from 1 April 2008:
No automatic lump sum. Any lump sum is to be provided by
commutation of pension. The terms for the conversion of pension in to
lump sum is £12 of lump sum for every £1 of annual pension
surrendered.
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Provision
Benefit Structure To 31 March 2008
Benefit Structure From 1 April 2008
Voluntary early
On retirement after age 60 a pension and lump sum based on actual scheme membership completed may be paid, subject to reduction on
retirement benefits (non account of early payment in some circumstances (in accordance with ERA protections).
ill-health)
Employer’s consent
On retirement after age 50 with employer’s consent a pension and
On retirement after age 55 with employer’s consent a pension and
early retirement
lump sum based on actual scheme membership completed may be
lump sum based on actual scheme membership completed may be
benefits (non ill-health)
paid.
paid.
Benefits paid on redundancy or efficiency grounds are paid with no
Benefits paid on redundancy or efficiency grounds are paid with no
actuarial reduction.
actuarial reduction.
Otherwise, benefits are subject to reduction on account of early
Otherwise, benefits are subject to reduction on account of early
payment, unless this is waived by the employer.
payment, unless this is waived by the employer.
Active members in the scheme immediately prior to 1 April 2008 who
leave before 31 March 2010 have a protected earliest retirement age
of 50.
Ill-health benefits
In the event of premature retirement due to permanent ill-health or
In the event of premature retirement due to permanent ill-health or
incapacity, an immediate pension and lump sum are paid based on
incapacity and a reduced likelihood of obtaining gainful employment
actual scheme membership plus an enhancement period of scheme
(local government or otherwise) before age 65, an immediate pension
membership.
and lump sum are paid based on actual scheme membership plus an
enhancement period of scheme membership.
The enhancement period is dependent on scheme membership at
date of leaving and is seldom more than 6 years 243 days.
The enhancement period is:
No reduction is applied due to early payment.
• 25% of the period to age 65, if there is some likelihood of
obtaining gainful employment prior to age 65; or
• 100% of the period to age 65, if there is no likelihood of obtaining
gainful employment prior to age 65.
No reduction is applied due to early payment. A third tier, with no
enhancement, is expected to apply in the event that there is an
immediate likelihood of gainful employment.
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Provision
Benefit Structure To 31 March 2008
Benefit Structure From 1 April 2008
Flexible retirement
After 5th April 2006, a member who has attained the age of 50, with
A member who has attained the age of 55 and who, with his
his employer's consent, reduces the hours he works, or the grade in
employer's consent, reduces the hours he works, or the grade in which
which he is employed, he may elect in writing to the appropriate
he is employed, may make a request in writing to the appropriate
administering authority and such benefits may, with his employer's
administering authority to receive
all or part of his benefits under
consent, be paid to him notwithstanding that he has not retired from
these Regulations, and the authority may pay those benefits to him
that employment.
notwithstanding that he has not retired from that employment.
Benefits are paid immediately and subject to actuarial reduction unless Benefits are paid immediately and subject to actuarial reduction unless
the reduction is waived by the employer.
the reduction is waived by the employer.
Pension increases
All pensions in payment, deferred pensions and dependant’s pensions other than benefits arising from the payment of additional voluntary
contributions are increased annually. Pensions are increased partially under the Pensions (Increases) Act and partially in accordance with
statutory requirements (depending on the proportions relating to pre 88 GMP, post 88 GMP and excess over GMP).
Death after retirement
A spouse’s or civil partner’s pension of one half of the member's
A spouse’s, civil partner’s or nominated cohabiting partner’s pension
pension (generally post 1 April 1972 service for widowers’ pension and payable at a rate of 1/160th of the member's total membership
post 6 April 1988 for civil partners) is payable; plus
multiplied by final pay (generally post 1 April 1972 service for
widowers’ pension and post 6 April 1988 for civil partners and
If the member dies within five years of retiring and before age 75 the
nominated cohabiting partners) is payable; plus
balance of five years' pension payments will be paid in the form of a
lump sum; plus
If the member dies within ten years of retiring and before age 75 the
balance of ten years' pension payments will be paid in the form of a
Children’s pensions may also be payable.
lump sum; plus
Children’s pensions may also be payable.
Death in service
A lump sum of two times final pay; plus
A lump sum of three times final pay; plus
A spouse's or civil partner’s pension of one half of the ill-health
A spouse’s, civil partner’s or cohabiting partner’s pension payable at a
retirement pension that would have been paid to the scheme member
rate of 1/160th of the member's total (augmented to age 65)
if he had retired on the day of death (generally post 1 April 1972
membership (generally post 1 April 1972 service for widowers’
service for widowers’ pension and post 6 April 1988 for civil partners);
pension and post 6 April 1988 for civil partners and nominated
plus
cohabiting partners), multiplied by final pay; plus
Children’s pensions may also be payable.
Children’s pensions may also be payable
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Provision
Benefit Structure To 31 March 2008
Benefit Structure From 1 April 2008
Leaving service options
If the member has completed three months’ or more scheme membership, deferred benefits with calculation and payment conditions similar to
general retirement provisions ; or
A transfer payment to either a new employer's scheme or a suitable insurance policy, equivalent in value to the deferred pension; or
If the member has completed less than three months' scheme membership, a return of the member's contributions with interest, less a State
Scheme premium deduction and less tax at the rate of 20%.
State pension scheme
The Fund is contracted-out of the State Second Pension and the benefits payable to each member are guaranteed to be not less than those
required to enable the Fund to be contracted-out.
Note: Certain categories of members of the Fund are entitled to benefits that differ from those summarised above.
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Discretionary benefits
The Regulations give employers a number of discretionary powers, including:
•
the awards of periods of augmentation under Regulation 52;
•
the payment of benefits on employer’s consent prior to age 60 under Regulation 31;
•
the payment of benefits due to flexible retirement under Regulation 35;
•
not applying the suspension of spouses’ pensions on remarriage or cohabitation for members who retired
before 1 April 1998.
From 1 April 2008, the employers will also be able to award additional pension.
The effect on benefits or contributions as a result of the use of these provisions prior to 1 April 2007 has been
allowed for in this valuation to the extent that this is reflected in the membership data provided. No allowance
has been made for the future use of discretionary powers. My assumptions do not anticipate any saving from
the suspension of spouses’ pension; to the extent that this continues, there will be a saving.
Changes to the Fund’s benefit structure
Since the previous valuation, there have been a number of changes to the benefit structure of the LGPS,
including:
•
A reduction of the total periods of membership required for an entitlement to deferred LGPS benefits from
two years to three months with effect from 1 April 2004;
•
The requirement for elections to aggregate former scheme membership with current membership to be
made within 12 months of becoming an active member with effect from 1 April 2004 (this option was
previously open-ended);
•
The removal of the right for re-employed pensioners to elect to aggregate former LGPS membership on
ceasing the re-employment (limited transitional arrangements were included for existing members who
might be affected);
•
The introduction of survivor benefits for civil partners, effective from 5 December 2005. This change
entitled a surviving civil partner to receive survivor benefits on the same basis and calculated in the same
manner as spouses benefits, albeit that account is only taken of scheme membership from 5 April 1988;
•
Members in the scheme prior to 1 October 2006 are entitled to take benefits relating to service to 1 April
2008 at their ‘rule of 85’ age, with benefits relating to service thereafter payable from 65. There are some
transitional protections in place for some older members which will provide full or partial protection for
those reaching the age of 60 by 2020. Allowance was made in anticipation of this change at the 2004
valuation;
•
The option for members to exchange part of their retirement pension for additional lump sum benefits,
with effect from 6 April 2006;
•
Other changes were also introduced with effect from 6 April 2006 in relation to the Finance Act 2004.
Notably the removal of Schedule 4 (Revenue Restrictions) including removal of the earnings cap and
maxima restrictions relating to membership, pension and lump sum;
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•
Flexible retirement, with effect from 6 April 2006, whereby a member who has attained the age of 50, with
his employer's consent, reduces the hours he works, or the grade in which he is employed, may elect in
writing to the appropriate administering authority and such benefits may, with his employer's consent, be
paid to him notwithstanding that he has not retired from that employment. Flexible retirement before a
member’s earliest retirement age results in actuarially reduced benefits unless the reduction is waived by
the employer.
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Appendix C – Membership data and assets
Membership data - employee members
31-Mar-07
31-Mar-04
Pensionable pay
Pensionable pay
Number
Number
[£000]p.a.
[£000]p.a.
Full-time members
Male officers
312
11,071
405
12,328
Female officers
539
15,037
666
15,972
Male manuals
142
3,250
177
3,503
Female manuals
35
766
38
677
Post April 1998 males
740
21,026
514
12,910
Post April 1998 females
893
23,894
719
16,379
Total full-time members
2,661
75,042
2,519
61,767
Part-time members
Male officers
17
249
26
356
Female officers
586
8,253
749
8,798
Male manuals
30
326
34
425
Female manuals
268
2,530
351
2,843
Post April 1998 males
199
2,130
133
1,369
Post April 1998 females
2,295
22,097
1,596
12,476
Total part-time members
3,395
35,585
2,889
26,266
Total members
6,056
110,627
5,408
88,034
The average age of employee members is 50.7. The average expected future working life of existing
employee members is 8.2 years. All of these figures are weighted by liability.
GMP information has been provided for deferred and pensioner members. No information was provided for
active members and full salary history is not available to estimate GMP. GMP pensions have therefore
been ignored for active members.
Note that the numbers in the above table refer to the number of records and so will include ‘double
counting’ of members in more than one employment.
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Membership data - pensioners, spouses and children
31-Mar-07
31-Mar-04
Pensions
Pensions
Number
Number
[£000] p.a.
[£000] p.a.
Normal/early retirements
Male officers
769
6,733
728
5,799
Female officers
1,370
4,544
1,157
3,388
Male manuals
380
1,117
383
1,024
Female manuals
428
496
377
419
Ill-health retirements
Male officers
143
1,274
147
1,129
Female officers
364
1,773
304
1,271
Male manuals
199
902
217
896
Female manuals
161
302
217
614
Dependants
Widows
512
1,257
482
1,020
Widowers
116
156
77
88
Children
48
57
46
49
Total
4,490
18,611
4,135
15,698
The average age of pensioner members (weighted by liability and excluding spouses’ and civil partners’
pensions and children’s pensions in payment) is 65.9. Note that the numbers in the above table refer to the
number of records and so will include ‘double counting’ of members in receipt of, or potentially in receipt of,
more than one benefit.
Membership data - deferred pensioners
31-Mar-07
31-Mar-04
Pensions
Pensions
Number
Number
[£000] p.a.
[£000] p.a.
Men
1,299
3,076
1,094
2,840
Women
2,961
4,085
2,205
3,347
Total
4,260
7,162
3,299
6,187
The deferred pension shown includes revaluation up to and including that granted by the 2007 Pension
Increase Order. The average age of deferred pensioners (weighted by liability) is 50.2. The figures above
also include status 2 and status 9 members as at the valuation date.
Note that the numbers in the above table refer to the number of records and so will include ‘double
counting’ of members in receipt of, or potentially in receipt of, more than one benefit.
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Membership data – membership split by fund employer
Number of Members
Pensionable Pay
Employer Code
Employer
Employees
Deferreds
Pensioners
PTE (£000s)
1
London Borough of Hillingdon
5458
3952
4379
96,935
64
Heathrow Travel Care
4
1
0
103
66
Hillingdon & Ealing Citizens Advice
12
18
3
309
85
Uxbridge College
196
197
42
3,925
90
Breakspear Crematorium
0
7
17
0
103
Hillingdon Homes
298
51
40
7,466
104
Central Parking Services
1
7
1
19
106
Park Lodge Farm
0
2
0
0
107
Stockley Academy
19
12
1
366
108
Harefield Academy
43
11
1
665
109
London Housing Consortium
12
2
6
539
110
Lookahead Housing and Care
13
0
0
299
Assets at 31 March 2007
A summary of the Fund’s assets (excluding Members’ money-purchase Additional Voluntary Contributions)
as at 31 March 2007 is as follows:
Market Value
Percentage of total Assets
[£000]
%
UK equities
265,859
46%
Overseas equities
180,186
31%
UK fixed interest bonds
16,188
3%
UK index linked bonds
15,904
3%
UK corporate bonds
10,688
2%
Overseas bonds
23,773
4%
Property
51,923
9%
Cash and net current assets
12,047
2%
Total
576,568
100%
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Revenue account for the three years to 31 March 2007
Revenue Accounts
£000
Year to
31-Mar-07
31-Mar-06
31-Mar-05
Total
EXPENDITURE
Retirement pensions
17,782
17,012
16,186
50,980
Retirement grants
3,732
1,949
1,926
7,607
Death benefits
464
336
376
1,176
Transfer values
3,856
4,417
3,599
11,872
Refunds/CEPS
25
79
119
223
Admin expenses
673
732
782
2,187
Investment expenses
2,477
1,918
1,535
5,930
Other expenditure
INCOME
Employee contributions
6,886
6,368
5,872
19,126
Employer contributions
14,913
12,200
9,773
36,886
Transfer values
3,928
5,896
5,730
15,554
Investment income
16,808
15,039
12,122
43,969
Other income
3
6
11
20
Assets at start of year
543,622
435,693
392,672
392,672
Net cashflow
13,529
13,060
8,974
35,563
Change in value
19,417
94,863
34,036
148,316
Assets at end of year
576,568
543,622
435,693
576,568
ANNUAL RETURNS
Approx rate of return
6.2%
24.8%
11.4%
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Appendix D – Funding method
Using the actuarial assumptions described in section 3 (and Appendix F) I estimate the payments which will
be made from the Fund throughout the future lifetimes of existing employee members, deferred pensioners,
pensioners and their dependants. I then calculate the amount of money which, if invested now, would be
sufficient to make these payments in future, assuming that future investment returns are in line with the
discount rate. This amount is the estimated cost of members’ benefits. I make separate calculations for
benefits arising from scheme membership before the valuation date (‘past service’) and from scheme
membership after the valuation date (‘future service’).
Past service funding position
I compare the value of the assets with the estimated cost of members’ past service benefits. The ratio of
the asset value to the estimated cost of members’ past service benefits is known as the ‘funding level’. If
the funding level is more than 100% there is a ‘surplus’; if it is less than 100% there is a ‘shortfall’.
Future service contribution rate: whole fund and employers admitting new entrants
I calculate the estimated cost of benefits accruing to existing employee members over the year following
the valuation date allowing for all expected future pay and pension increases. This amount is expressed as
a percentage of the members’ pensionable pay over the year following the valuation date and is known as
the ‘future service contribution rate’.
This method of assessing the future contribution requirement is applied only to the Fund membership at the
valuation date. If new entrants are admitted to the Fund to the extent that the membership profile remains
broadly unchanged (and if the actuarial assumptions are unchanged) then the future service contribution
rate assessed at future valuations should be reasonably stable. However, if the average age of employee
members rises (for example if few or no new entrants are admitted to the Fund), and if the actuarial
assumptions are unchanged, then the future service contribution rate will increase.
This funding method is known as the Projected Unit Method.
Future service contribution rate: employers not admitting new entrants
I calculate the estimated cost of benefits accruing to existing employee members over their expected future
working life allowing for all expected future pay and pension increases. This amount is expressed as a
percentage of the members’ pensionable salaries over their expected future working life and is known as
the ‘future service contribution rate’.
This method of assessing the future contribution requirement is applied only to the Fund membership at the
valuation date. If no new entrants are admitted to the Fund, so that the membership profile gradually ages,
(and if the actuarial assumptions are unchanged) then the contribution rate assessed at future valuations
should be reasonably stable, provided that any surplus or shortfall in the past service position is reflected in
the contribution rate.
This funding method is known as the Attained Age Method.
Future service contribution rate: all cases
Under each of the two methods described above to calculate the future service contribution rate, the cost of
the lump sum death in service benefit is separately assessed as the amount which is likely to be paid out in
an average year, based on the membership structure at the valuation date.
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The total ‘future service contribution rate’ is then the sum of either the ‘Projected Unit Method’ rate or the
‘Attained Age Method’ rate, plus the lump sum death benefit cost. It is the rate at which the Fund
employers, together with the employee members, should contribute to the Fund to meet the cost of
members’ benefits expected to arise from service after the valuation date. For the period from 1 April 2008
to 31 March 2010, employee members will be contributing at fixed rates (albeit with various tiers).
Therefore the Fund employers’ future service contribution rate is the total future service contribution rate
less the member contribution rate. An addition is made to cover the expected future expenses of
administering the Fund.
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Appendix E – Changes since the previous valuation
Changes to the Fund’s benefit structure
Since the previous valuation, a number of changes have been made to the LGPS benefit structure, some of
which are listed below. Full details of the scheme benefits are set out in Appendix B.
•
removal of the Rule of 85 for some or all service;
•
introduction of commutation;
•
a reduction to the minimum membership required for entitlement to a deferred benefit;
•
restrictions on aggregation of former membership;
•
introduction of survivor benefits for civil partners.
The overall effect of these changes is to reduce the cost of the benefits.
Changes to the Fund’s benefit structure from 2008
A new scheme is to be introduced from 1 April 2008. Regulations have been laid but corrective changes
are still expected to be made in the lead up to the introduction of the new benefit structure. As a general
principle, benefits accrued up to 31 March 2008 will continue to be calculated in accordance with the
scheme rules at that date. The details of the benefit structure relating to scheme membership from 1 April
2008 are included in Appendix B and the main changes are summarised below:
•
pension calculated as 1/60 x final pay x period of scheme membership;
•
option to exchange part of retirement pension for lump sum, up to a maximum of 25% of the capital
value of benefits;
•
employees’ contribution rates ranging from 5.5% to 7.5% of pensionable pay, determined by a seven
tier structure based on the level of whole-time pensionable pay as at the 1 April in each year, or date
of joining the scheme if different and may also be subject to re-determination on a ‘material’ change
in circumstances;
•
earliest retirement age for non ill-health retirements of age 55 (with employer consent) or from age
50 for existing members opting to draw benefits with employer consent before 31st March 2010;
•
ill-health benefits if member found to be permanently unfit and has a reduced likelihood of obtaining
gainful employment prior to age 65. Enhancement either 25% or 100% of the period to age 65,
depending on likelihood of obtaining gainful employment prior to age 65. A third tier ill-health
provision, with no enhancement, is also expected to be included in the scheme;
•
death grant of 3 times final pay for death in service;
•
death grant of 10 times pension less total of pension payments already paid for death after
retirement;
•
introduction of pensions to nominated co-habiting partners on the death of a scheme member;
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•
spouses, civil partners and co-habiting partners pensions calculated using a 1/160 accrual rate; and
•
changes to the options for members to purchase or employers to award extra scheme pension.
In addition, a cost sharing mechanism is to be introduced. This, however, will only be effective from April
2010 and therefore does not need to be considered as part of this actuarial valuation.
Changes to the funding assumptions
The financial assumptions have changed since the previous valuation. The financial assumptions used in
this and the previous valuation are shown in Appendix F.
The assumptions relating to the mortality of current and future pensioners have changed since the previous
valuation, to reflect recent experience in the Fund and more up-to-date standard mortality tables produced
by the actuarial profession. The effect of the change in assumptions on the expected future lifespan of
Fund members is illustrated in Appendix F.
Some of the other demographic assumptions have also changed since the previous valuation. The
changes reflect updated expectations of future experience based on an analysis of recent past experience
in the Fund.
Changes to the economic environment
Since the previous valuation, equity markets have risen and bond markets have risen (so yields have
fallen). Market expectations of inflation have risen. Overall, changes in economic factors have been
favourable in terms of their effect on the funding level. Lower real gilt yields have however increased the
assessed cost of future service benefits.
Changes to the Fund membership
The Fund membership has changed since the previous valuation, as new employee members have joined
the Fund and members have left the Fund, retired and died. Whilst membership changes were anticipated
at the previous valuation, the actual changes have inevitably not exactly matched the assumptions made at
the previous valuation.
In general, the Fund has matured since the previous valuation: employee members are, on average, closer
to retirement and the portion of the total assessed cost of benefits attributable to pensioner members has
increased. Further details of the Fund membership and its changes since the previous valuation are given
in Appendix C.
Changes to the Fund’s assets
The Fund’s assets have been augmented by employer and employee contributions paid in, transfer values
received, and interest and investment gains. Conversely, the assets have been depleted by benefit
payments to members and their beneficiaries, transfer values and refunds paid and payment of
administration and other expenses.. Overall, there has been a net increase in the market value of the
Fund’s assets, only some of which was anticipated in the previous valuation.
In the report on the previous actuarial valuation I recommended that contributions be paid in line with the
rates shown in the Rates and Adjustment certificate appended to that report over the period from 1 April
2005 to 31 March 2008. The Fund employers have paid contributions over the period from 1 April 2005 at
least in line with those recommended rates.
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Changes to the funding position
The changes described above have combined to improve the Fund’s funding position since the previous
valuation. The chart below illustrates the effect of the various factors on the funding position.
-53.5
Surplus(Deficit) at Last Valuation
Interest on surplus(deficit)
-10.8
Investment returns greater than expected
106.9
Change in demographic assumptions
-19.7
Experience items
-8.5
Contributions less than cost of accrual
-4.8
Change in financial assumptions
-53.4
Miscellaneous items
-5.8
-49.5
Surplus(Deficit) at This Valuation
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
£m
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Changes to the contribution requirement
The maturing of the Fund’s employee membership coupled with the fall in real gilt yields and changes to
the funding assumptions have led to an increase in the assessed cost of future benefit accruing, as shown
by the chart below.
Future service rate in 2004
11.25%
Roll forward to 2007
0.2%
Changes in demographic assumptions-0.2%
Allowance for commutation at 50%-0.3%
Change in life expectancy
0.8%
Change in asset outperformance
0.5%
Change in market conditions
2.0%
Abolition of the rule of 85
0.0%
New scheme 2008
0.6%
Future service rate in 2007
14.8%
-2% 0%
2%
4%
6%
8% 10% 12% 14% 16%
The past service adjustment has fallen due to the improved funding position. Overall the common
contribution rate has increased since the previous valuation to 16.8% of pensionable pay.
Further detail on the funding level and contribution requirements is shown in section 6.
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Appendix F – Actuarial assumptions
Financial assumptions
Assumptions to
Assumptions to
Assumptions to
assess funding
assess funding
assess ‘gilt based’
position at 31 March position at 31 March position at 31 March
2004
2007
2007
Annual rate of price inflation
2.9%
3.2%
3.2%
Annual rate of pension increases
- on pensions in excess of GMPs
2.9%
3.2%
3.2%
- on pensions accrued after April 1997
2.9%
3.2%
3.2%
- on post-88 GMPs in payment
2.0%
2.8%
2.8%
- on pre-88 GMPs in payment
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Annual rate of increase of deferred pensions
2.9%
3.2%
3.2%
Annual rate of pay increases
4.4% (2)
4.7% (1)
4.7% (1)
Discount rate
6.3%
6.1%
4.5%
Expenses
1.0%
0.7%
0.7%
(1) plus an allowance for promotional increases (see table below).
(2) plus an allowance for promotional increases.
Mortality assumptions
PMA92/PFA92 tables based on calendar year projections
For current pensioners mortality is projected to Calendar Year 2017, whilst for members yet to retire it is
projected to 2033.
Age ratings set out in the table below
Males
Females
Officers (& post-98 joiners)
No age rating
No age rating
Manuals
+3 years
+2 years
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Ill Health Retirement - as above, except rated up by 5 years (6 years for male officers and male post-98
joiners)
Widows – one year older than female pensioners
Other demographic valuation assumptions
Retirements in ill health
Allowance has been made for ill-health retirements before
Normal Pension Age (see table below).
Withdrawals
Allowance has been made for withdrawals from service (see
table below).
Family details
A varying proportion of members are assumed to be married (or
have an adult dependant) at retirement or on earlier death. For
example, at age 60 this is assumed to be 80% for males and
75% for females.
Husbands are assumed to be 3 years older than wives.
Commutation
50% of future retirements elect to exchange pension for
additional tax free cash up to HMRC limits.
The tables below show details of the assumptions actually used for specimen ages. The promotional pay
scale is an annual average for all employees at each age. It is in addition to the allowance for general pay
inflation described above. For membership movements, the percentages represent the probability that an
individual at each age leaves service within the following twelve months.
Incidence per 1000 active members per anumm
Male Officers & Post 98
Male Manuals
Female Officers & Post 98
Female Manuals
Age
Ill Health
Ill Health
Ill Health
Ill Health
Death
Death
Death
Death
FT
PT
FT
PT
FT
PT
FT
PT
20
0.30
0
0
0.38
0
0
0.16
0
0
0.20
0
0
25
0.30
0
0
0.38
2.24
1.79
0.16
0.42
0.34
0.20
2.60
2.08
30
0.36
0.42
0.34
0.45
3.64
2.91
0.24
0.70
0.56
0.30
3.60
2.88
35
0.42
0.56
0.45
0.53
5.46
4.37
0.40
1.40
1.12
0.50
5.20
4.16
40
0.72
0.98
0.78
0.90
7.56
6.05
0.64
1.82
1.46
0.80
7.20
5.76
45
1.20
2.24
1.79
1.50
10.92
8.74
1.04
2.94
2.35
1.30
9.20
7.36
50
1.92
6.16
4.93
2.40
15.96
12.77
1.52
5.74
4.59
1.90
13.60
10.88
55
3.00
12.60
10.08
3.75
25.76
20.61
2.00
15.12
12.10
2.50
25.60
20.48
60
5.40
25.20
20.16
6.75
49.00
39.20
2.56
0
0
3.20
0
0
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Promotional Salary Scales
Female Officers & Post 98
Age
Male Officers & Post 98 Males
Male Manuals
Female Manuals
Females
FT
PT
FT
PT
FT
PT
FT
PT
20
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
25
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
30
123
113
100
100
115
105
100
100
35
138
123
100
100
126
110
100
100
40
148
128
100
100
136
115
100
100
45
158
128
100
100
136
115
100
100
50
168
128
100
100
136
115
100
100
55
168
128
100
100
136
115
100
100
60
168
128
100
100
136
115
100
100
Incidence for 1000 active members per annum
Male Officers & Post 98 Males
Male Manuals
Female Officers & Post 98
Female Manuals
Age
Withdrawals
Withdrawals
Withdrawals
Withdrawals
FT
PT
FT
PT
FT
PT
FT
PT
20
176.26
293.76
293.76
587.52
167.18
232.20
278.64
371.52
25
116.42
194.04
194.04
388.08
112.46
156.20
187.44
249.92
30
82.58
137.64
137.64
275.28
94.25
130.90
157.08
209.44
35
64.51
107.52
107.52
215.04
81.29
112.90
135.48
180.64
40
51.91
86.52
86.52
173.04
67.61
93.90
112.68
150.24
45
42.48
70.80
70.80
141.60
55.66
77.30
92.76
123.68
50
32.90
54.84
54.84
109.68
42.41
58.90
70.68
94.24
55
28.51
47.52
47.52
95.04
32.69
45.40
54.48
72.64
60
17.28
28.80
28.80
57.60
15.19
21.10
25.32
33.76
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Appendix G – Detailed valuation results
In section 4 of this report, I showed that at the valuation date, the funding level calculated in relation to the
Administering Authority‘s chosen funding objective was 92% and there was a funding shortfall of £50m.
The table below shows these results, together with those from the previous valuation, in more detail.
Funding position ([£000s])
31-Mar-07
31-Mar-04
A. Value of assets
576,909
393,000
Assessed cost of past service benefits in respect of:
Employee members
267,518
173,704
Pensioner members
249,117
195,158
Deferred pensioner members
109,798
77,611
B. Total assessed cost of past service benefits
626,432
446,473
Funding surplus/(shortfall) (A minus B)
(49,523)
(53,473)
Funding level (A as a percentage of B)
92%
88%
Section 4 also showed that I calculate the overall ‘future service contribution rate’ payable by the Fund
employers (ignoring the shortfall in the Fund at the valuation date) to be 14.8% of pensionable pay payable
with effect from 1 April 2008. The derivation of this contribution rate, together with that calculated at the
previous valuation and the past service adjustment, is shown below.
31 March 2007
31 March 2004
Employer contribution rates
% pensionable payroll
% pensionable payroll
Total future service cost
20.7%
16.3%
Employee contributions (excluding AVCs)
6.6%
6.0%
Expenses
0.7%
1.0%
Net employer future service cost
14.8%
11.3%
Past service adjustment - 25 year spread
2.1%
3.2%
Employer contribution rate
16.8%
14.4%
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Appendix H – Rates and adjustments certificate
In accordance with Regulation 77 of the Local Government Pension Scheme Regulations 1997, as
amended, I have made an assessment of the contributions that should be paid to the Fund by the
employing authorities as from 1 April 2008 in order to maintain the solvency of the Fund.
The required contribution rates are set out in the attached statement.
Signature:
Date:
19
March
2008
Name:
Bryan
T
Chalmers
Qualification:
Fellow of the Faculty of Actuaries
Firm:
Hymans Robertson LLP
20
Waterloo
Street
Glasgow
G2
6DB
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Statement to the rates and adjustments certificate
The Common Rate of Contribution payable by each employing authority under Regulation 77 for the period
1 April 2008 to 31 March 2011 is 16.8% of pensionable pay (as defined in Appendix B).
Individual Adjustments are required under Regulation 77 for the period 1 April 2008 to 31 March 2011
resulting in Minimum Total Contribution Rates expressed as a percentage of pensionable pay are as set
out below:
Employer
code
Employer
Minimum contributions for the year ending
31 Mar 2009
31 Mar 2010
31 Mar 2011
1
London Borough of Hillingdon
15.6%
16.35%
17.1%
64
Heathrow Travel Care
15.6%
16.35%
17.1%
66
Hillingdon & Ealing Citizens Advice
14.5%
14.5%
14.5%
85
Uxbridge College
12.9%
12.9%
12.9%
103
Hillingdon Homes
15.9%
15.9%
15.9%
104
Central Parking Services
14.7%
14.7%
14.7%
107
Stockley Academy
18.5%
18.5%
18.5%
108
Harefield Academy
13.0%
13.0%
13.0%
109
London Housing Consortium
15.6%
16.35%
17.1%
110
Lookahead Housing and Care
18.6%
18.6%
18.6%
Notes
Contributions expressed as a percentage should be paid into the London Borough of Hillingdon Pension
Fund (‘the Fund’) at a frequency in accordance with the requirements of the Regulations.
Further sums should be paid to the Fund to meet the costs of any early retirements and/or augmentation
using methods and factors issued by me from time to time.
Further sums may be required to be paid to the Fund by employers to meet the capital costs of any ill-
health retirements that exceed those included within my assumptions.
The certified contribution rates represent the minimum level of contributions to be paid. Employing
authorities may pay further amounts at any time and future periodic contributions may be adjusted on a
basis approved by the Fund actuary.
March 2008
G:\ACT\LGPS\HLDN\2007 VAL\REPORTS\080319 WITH CAVEAT - VALUATION AS AT 31 MARCH 2007.DOC